What is our Monaco vs Lille prediction?
Monaco
1 - 0
Lille
Our prediction for this match: Monaco 1 - 0 Lille
Monaco vs Lille Preview
Monaco will look to make amends for their 1-0 defeat to Lorient when they host Lille in this Ligue 1 round-eight derby. Filipe Luis’ men managed just 0.60 expected goals in that disappointing performance, but their home form offers plenty of encouragement, with four wins and a draw in their last five matches on home soil. Fit-again striker Folarin Balogun is pushing for a starting spot, and Monaco have no fresh injury concerns.
Lille, meanwhile, rescued a point against Brest after coming from behind to draw 1-1, creating several opportunities in an improved second-half display. Ethan Mbappe returns from his Champions League suspension, while Olivier Giroud is expected to lead the attack with Igamane and Ueda still sidelined. Les Dogues have scored just 1.00 goal per away game, although their ability to keep clean sheets on the road could make this a competitive encounter.
Monaco’s impressive home record makes Home Win our main betting tip, alongside Monaco to Score First and Under 3.5 goals as the hosts concede only 0.80 goals per game overall.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00.
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Kick-off
- Sun 25 Oct, 14:00UK time
Monaco vs Lille Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Monaco 1-0 Lille | 15/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Monaco | 2/5 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Monaco / Monaco | 2/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: Monaco -0.5 | 9/10 | |
| European Handicap: Lille +2 | 3/10 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Paris Brunner | 13/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Paris Brunner | 9/2 | |
| To be Booked: Flavio Nazinho | 7/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 11/10 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals | 10/3 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 11/10 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Monaco Clean Sheet: Yes | 7/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferMonaco Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdwwdwlw | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwwdw | 2.67 |
| Away | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.17 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.45 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.20 | 1.77 |
Lille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwlwwldl | 1.40 |
| Home | dlwwwdl | 1.57 |
| Away | wll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 43% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.29 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.71 | 0.67 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 71% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 29% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.42 | 2.06 |
Monaco vs Lille Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Monaco (35%)
31 Matches
Lille (39%)
Monaco vs Lille Past Results
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