Monaco and Lyon face each other at Stade Louis II in what promises to be an entertaining Ligue 1 derby. However, we predict a 2-0 home win as les Gones have been struggling on the road of late. Les Rouges et Blancs suffered a 1-0 loss to Marseille at Stade Velodrome on Matchday 17, but it is well know that they produce much better showings at home than on the travels. Monaco’s expected goals of 1.49 at home is surely giving fans a reason for optimism. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team which definitely supports our betting angle.
Les Gones, on the other hand, are on a three-game winning run in all competitions, but their away record in Ligue 1 is poor. Lyon have failed to win the last five away games in the national championship, scoring only 1.20 goals per game. Therefore, we do not believe that there is big value in betting on the underdogs. The good news for the visiting team is that defender Ainsley Maitland-Niles is back from suspension.
Given Lyon’s difficulties on the road and Monaco’s fine record against les Gones at Stade Louis II, Home Win should be considered, with additional value on Under 3.5 goals and BTTS – No.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 3 January 2026 at 16:00.
What is our Monaco vs Lyon prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Monaco 2 - 0 Lyon
Monaco vs Lyon Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Mika Biereth @ 105 Odds
- To be booked: Bradel Kiwa @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Monaco vs Lyon?
You can place your bets on Monaco vs Lyon at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMonaco Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlw | 1.30 |
| Home | llww | 1.50 |
| Away | ldllw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.49 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.71 | 1.55 | 1.82 |
Lyon Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwww | 1.70 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | dldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.76 | 2.12 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.03 | 0.88 | 1.19 |
Monaco vs Lyon Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Monaco (37%)
30 Matches
Lyon (50%)
Bayern Munich
St Gilloise
Chelsea
Pafos
Juventus
Benfica
Marseille
Liverpool
Newcastle
PSV
Slavia Prague
Barcelona
