PSG continue their title push after a narrow 1-0 victory over Le Havre, but Luis Enrique faces another match without injured trio Ousmane Dembele, Joao Neves, and Fabian Ruiz. Despite these absences, Les Parisiens, though, have an outstanding depth and we predict that they will defeat Monaco 3-1 in the Ligue 1 derby. PSG's attacking numbers remain impressive, with the teamaveraging 3.10 goals per match and scoring in 100% of their league games so far. At home, they produce 2.75 goals per game with a strong 2.30 xG and concede just 0.75, underlining their superiority at the Parc des Princes.
Monaco travel to "The City of Lights" in good spirits after a confident 2-0 win over Angers, with Simon Adingra pushing for a starting role following his impact off the bench. Les Rouges et Blancs average 1.70 goals per match and show solid defensive structure with 50% clean sheets overall. However, their away form is less convincing, taking just 1.20 points per game while conceding 1.40 goals. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
As both teams average over 2.8 total match goals with high-scoring H2H history, we believe that there is big value in betting on Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, Home Win and BTTS options should be considered as PSG concede in 67% of home games; Monaco BTTS in 60% away matches.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Friday 6 March 2026 at 19:45.
What is our PSG vs Monaco prediction?
Our prediction for this match: PSG 3 - 1 Monaco
PSG vs Monaco Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ -150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ousmane Dembele @ 350 Odds
- To be Booked: Bradel Kiwa @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: PSG -1 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: PSG -1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: PSG to Win @ -900 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: PSG to Win/PSG to Win @ -120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: PSG - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on PSG vs Monaco?
You can place your bets on PSG vs Monaco at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferPSG Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdwwlwwdw | 2.00 |
| Home | dwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | lwwlww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.75 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.37 | 2.30 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.99 | 0.94 | 1.03 |
Monaco Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwldwlwdw | 1.60 |
| Home | dwwlw | 2.00 |
| Away | dldwd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.40 | 1.64 |
PSG vs Monaco Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
PSG (47%)
38 Matches
Monaco (24%)
