Toulouse are determined to return to winning ways in Ligue 1, but given les Pitchouns' poor form, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-1 away win. Toulouse welcome Cristian Casseres back from suspension as they aim to stabilise their mid-table position. Toulouse have been far more reliable at home, averaging 1.60 points per game, with a solid defensive record of 1.00 goal conceded per home match. Their 1.84 home xG suggests they consistently create enough to trouble opponents, although inconsistency in front of goal remains an issue, having failed to score in 40% of their games.
Marseille arrive pushing for a Champions League spot after a dramatic 3-2 win over Lyon. Igor Paixão is pushing for a start after scoring from the bench, and the team’s attacking numbers are impressive: Marseille’s matches average 4.00 total goals, with the side producing 1.80 goals per game. However, their away form is poor, with just 0.80 points per game and 2.80 goals conceded per away match, highlighting major defensive issues.
Historically, Marseille dominate this matchup (16 wins in 30 meetings), and with superior attacking quality, they remain slight favourites despite their away struggles. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Away Win, with additional value on Both Teams to Score, and Over 2.5 goals as Marseille games average 4.00 total goals with defensive issues on both sides.
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 20:05.
What is our Toulouse vs Marseille prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Toulouse 1 - 2 Marseille
Toulouse vs Marseille Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mason Greenwood @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Facundo Medina @ 137 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Marseille 0 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Marseille +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Marseille to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Marseille to Win/Marseille to Win @ 240 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Marseille - No @ -350 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Toulouse vs Marseille?
You can place your bets on Toulouse vs Marseille at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferToulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwdwlldl | 1.20 |
| Home | lwdwd | 1.60 |
| Away | dwlll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.84 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 1.16 | 1.01 |
Marseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwldwldlw | 1.40 |
| Home | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | wldll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 1.46 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.21 | 1.34 |
Toulouse vs Marseille Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Toulouse (3%)
30 Matches
Marseille (53%)
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