Toulouse will look to bounce back after their 2-1 defeat to Le Havre, a match that also saw midfielder Rafik Messali limp off, opening the door for Santiago Hidalgo to step into the starting XI. As Paris FC are low on confidence following a heavy 5-0 defeat to Lens, we predict a 2-1 home win. Les Pitchouns remain strong at home, collecting 1.75 points per game and keeping 50% clean sheets. Their defensive numbers are solid, conceding just 1.00 goal per home match, while their expected goals of 1.65 highlights a consistently productive attack.
Paris FC, meanwhile, travel after a humiliating 5-0 loss to Lens, and significant changes are expected. Both Simon and Krasso are pushing for starting roles as the team looks to recover from a poor run of form (ddldl). Their away record, however, offers some encouragement: 1.67 points per game with 50% clean sheets and only 0.83 goals conceded on average. Still, scoring remains inconsistent, with Paris FC failing to score in 33% of away matches.
Considering Toulouse's fine home form and better stability, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win. Additionally, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals markets seem interesting as (83% of H2H meetings and both sides averaging 2.40 total goals).
This Ligue 1 match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Toulouse vs Paris FC prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Toulouse 2 - 1 Paris FC
Toulouse vs Paris FC Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 120 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ciro Immobile @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ciro Immobile @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Maxime Lopez @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Toulouse 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Paris FC +2 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Toulouse to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Toulouse to Win/Toulouse to Win @ 225 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Toulouse - No @ -200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Toulouse vs Paris FC?
You can place your bets on Toulouse vs Paris FC at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferToulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwll | 1.70 |
| Home | lwdw | 1.75 |
| Away | wdwll | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 1.65 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 1.30 | 0.93 |
Paris FC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddldl | 1.20 |
| Home | lddl | 0.50 |
| Away | lwwld | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.50 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 1.13 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.52 |
Toulouse vs Paris FC Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Toulouse (50%)
6 Matches
Paris FC (33%)
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