Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Prediction & Betting Tips | 08/11/2026

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Prediction and Betting Tips 8 November 2026

Prediction Betting Tips Free Bets Line-ups Injuries Standings Stats

What is our Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City prediction?

Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 St. Louis City

Our prediction for this match: Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 St. Louis City

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Preview

Fourth place in the Western Conference will be at stake when Houston Dynamo and St. Louis City face each other on the final day of the regular season. Houston will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing 3-1 defeat to Portland Timbers, with Holmes expected to replace Negri after the latter picked up an injury at the weekend. The Orange Crush have struggled to find consistency lately, winning just one of their last five home matches. The hosts have also averaged only 1.20 goals per game in their last five outings at home.

St. Louis City, meanwhile, do not seem to be at the top of their game, having suffered four consecutive defeats, including a narrow 1-0 loss to San Diego. Yoann Damet's men were unlucky not to get something from that encounter, registering 1.94 expected goals without finding the net. Despite their recent struggles, the visitors have shown decent defensive solidity on their travels, keeping clean sheets in three of their last five away matches. The away team will be eager to end the campaign on a positive note and remain competitive in the battle for fourth place.

Both teams have reasons to push for a result, but their recent performances make this a difficult fixture to call. Under 3.5 goals is our main prediction, while Houston Dynamo or draw (1X) looks appealing given St. Louis City's four-game losing streak.

This MLS match will be played on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 00:00 in BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston, USA.

League: MLS
Kick-off: Sun 8 Nov 2026, 00:00UK time
Venue: BBVA Compass StadiumHouston • 22,661 seats
Referee: Allen Chapman

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Betting Tips

Betting Tip	Odds	Probability
Match result
Correct Score: Houston Dynamo 1-1 St. Louis City	11/2	15%
Double Chance: X2	1/2	67%
Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw	5/1	17%
Asian Handicap: St. Louis City SC +0.5	19/40	68%
European Handicap: Houston Dynamo +1	4/9	69%
Player bets
Anytime Goalscorer: Rafael Navarro	6/4	40%
First Goalscorer: Rafael Navarro	11/2	15%
To be Booked: Christopher Durkin	9/4	31%
1+ Shots on Target: Simon Becher	4/9	69%
2+ Shots on Target: Simon Becher	9/4	31%
To Assist: Alexandru Matan	10/3	23%
Goals
Both Teams to Score: Yes	1/2	67%
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals	2/11	85%
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals	6/5	45%
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals	1/2	67%
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals	2/11	85%
Houston Dynamo Clean Sheet: No	2/9	82%
Corners
Total Corners: 9 - 11	8/5	38%

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Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Line-ups

Houston DynamoStarting XI • 4-2-3-1

Expected

No.	Player	Pos.
31	J. Bond	GK
11	L. Ennali	DF
5	Lucas Halter	DF
21	F. Negri	DF
34	A. Resch	DF
6	Artur	MF
19	M. Bogusz	MF
30	A. Bouzat	MF
18	D. Samassékou	MF
24	A. Ibrahim	MF
9	L. Foster	FW
	Coach J. Guerra

St. Louis CityStarting XI • 3-4-1-2

Expected

No.	Player	Pos.
39	B. Lundt	GK
32	T. Baumgartl	DF
21	D. Polvara	DF
5	L. MacNaughton	DF
6	C. Wallem	MF
8	C. Durkin	MF
14	T. Totland	MF
24	D. Edelman	MF
9	Rafael Navarro	FW
19	C. Holse	FW
77	Jeong Sang-Bin	FW
	Coach Yoann Damet

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Injuries and Suspensions

Houston DynamoInjuries and suspensions

Player	Reason	Status
Guilherme	Lower-Body Injury	Out
H. Herrera	Lower-Body Injury	Out
J. Maurer	Back Injury	Out
M. Saracchi	Lower-Body Injury	Out

St. Louis CityInjuries and suspensions

Player	Reason	Status
R. Burki	Concussion	Out
Celio Pompeu	Knee Injury	Out
A. Matan	Leg Injury	Out

Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Standings

Houston Dynamo

St. Louis City

5th	Position	4th
51	Points	51
33	Played	33
14-9-10	Won-Drawn-Lost	14-9-10
43 : 42	Goals for : against	58 : 48
+1	Goal difference	+10
LWDDD	Form	LLLLD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
Place 1 in the full table
2	FC Dallas	33	15	10	8	59	50	+9	55	DLWDW
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	14	10	9	56	48	+8	52	WDLDD
4	St. Louis City	33	14	9	10	58	48	+10	51	LLLLD
5	Houston Dynamo	33	14	9	10	43	42	+1	51	LWDDD
6	Los Angeles FC	33	12	11	10	51	38	+13	47	LDDWD
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	11	11	11	49	55	-6	44	WDDWL
Places 8 to 15 in the full table

MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Show full table (15 teams)

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	18	7	8	72	34	+38	61	WWLWD
2	FC Dallas	33	15	10	8	59	50	+9	55	DLWDW
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	14	10	9	56	48	+8	52	WDLDD
4	St. Louis City	33	14	9	10	58	48	+10	51	LLLLD
5	Houston Dynamo	33	14	9	10	43	42	+1	51	LWDDD
6	Los Angeles FC	33	12	11	10	51	38	+13	47	LDDWD
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	11	11	11	49	55	-6	44	WDDWL
8	Portland Timbers	33	12	7	14	60	61	-1	43	WWWDL
9	Colorado Rapids	33	12	7	14	46	47	-1	43	LDWDD
10	Seattle Sounders	33	11	10	12	42	45	-3	43	LLDDL
11	Real Salt Lake	33	12	6	15	51	51	0	42	LWWWD
12	Minnesota United FC	33	10	11	12	53	57	-4	41	WWDWD
13	San Diego	33	9	11	13	57	62	-5	38	WLDDD
14	Austin	33	8	10	15	42	63	-21	34	LLWLL
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	6	5	22	39	81	-42	23	DLLLL

Houston Dynamo Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wldlddddwl	1.10
Home	wdldd	1.20
Away	lddwl	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	2.60	3.20
Scored	1.30	1.20	1.40
Conceded	1.60	1.40	1.80
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	30%	40%	20%
Expected Goals	1.16	1.27	1.05
Expected Goals Against	1.80	1.82	1.78

St. Louis City Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwwdldlll	1.40
Home	wwdll	1.40
Away	wwldl	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	3.20	3.60	2.80
Scored	1.90	2.20	1.60
Conceded	1.30	1.40	1.20
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
Clean Sheets	40%	20%	60%
Failed to Score	40%	40%	40%
Expected Goals	1.40	1.63	1.17
Expected Goals Against	1.63	1.37	1.89