What is our Inter Miami vs New York City prediction?
Inter Miami
3 - 1
New York City
Our prediction for this match: Inter Miami 3 - 1 New York City
Inter Miami vs New York City Preview
Inter Miami will be eager to take advantage of home comforts after a mixed run of results, and their attacking output makes them a dangerous opponent for any visiting side. The title holders have scored 2.86 goals per game at home recently, demonstrating their capacity to overwhelm defences when their forwards find rhythm. Tadeo Allende, Yannick Bright and Mateo Silvetti are unavailable, but Miami retain the potential to dominate the attacking exchanges. As always, the Herons will rely on Argentina ace Leo Messi, who scored a brace in weekend's 4-0 win over DC United.
New York City have endured a frustrating spell, struggling to turn draws into victories and showing little consistency in the final third. Their away record is more respectable than their overall results, but they have still conceded 1.33 goals per game on the road. Drew Baiera, Arnau Farnos, Maxi Moralez, Keaton Parks and Kai Trewin are among the confirmed absentees, which definitely supports our betting angle.
The hosts should create enough opportunities to secure the points, although NYCFC can still threaten on the counterattack. Anyhow, Inter Miami to Win is our main betting tip, alongside Over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
This MLS match will be played on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 00:30.
- Competition
- MLS
- Kick-off
- Thu 15 Oct, 00:30UK time
Inter Miami vs New York City Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreInter Miami 3-1 New York City | 1000 | |
| Double Chance12 | -550 | |
| Draw No BetInter Miami | -450 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeInter Miami / Inter Miami | 125 | |
| Asian HandicapInter Miami -0.5 | -191 | |
| European HandicapNew York City +3 | -450 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -188 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -800 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -225 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5 Goals | 110 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -350 | |
| Clean SheetInter Miami: No | -300 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerLionel Messi | -225 | |
| First GoalscorerLionel Messi | 225 | |
| To be BookedTayvon Gray | 175 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferInter Miami Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdddwdlw | 1.40 |
| Home | lwddwdw | 1.71 |
| Away | ddl | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 43% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 4.14 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.86 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.29 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 80% | 71% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.63 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.38 | 1.56 |
New York City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldddlwldl | 0.70 |
| Home | ldll | 0.25 |
| Away | lddwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.47 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.38 | 1.49 |
Inter Miami vs New York City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Inter Miami (25%)
16 Matches
New York City (50%)
Inter Miami vs New York City Past Results
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