What is our New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC prediction?
New York Red Bulls
2 - 1
Toronto FC
Our prediction for this match: New York Red Bulls 2 - 1 Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Preview
New York Red Bulls will look to bounce back from their 2-1 defeat to DC United and strengthen their playoff hopes when they face Toronto FC at Red Bull Arena. The Metros have struggled for consistency, but Choupo-Moting’s goal off the bench could earn the experienced forward a starting role, while Emil Forsberg is also pushing for a recall. Their home form remains a concern, with the Red Bulls conceding 1.80 goals per game on their own turf.
Toronto FC arrive after an entertaining 3-3 draw with Orlando City, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive weaknesses. A man to watch in the away team will be Theo Corbeanu, who has been producing excellent performances of late. However, Toronto have found away fixtures difficult, averaging just 0.75 goals scored per game on their travels, so they will need a more clinical performance to leave New Jersey with all three points.
New York have a strong historical advantage in this matchup, winning 20 of the 37 previous meetings, and home advantage could prove decisive. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Both Teams to Score (Toronto looked sharp up front against Orlando) and Over 2.5 goals (49% H2H).
This MLS match will be played on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 00:30.
- Competition
- MLS
- Kick-off
- Sun 18 Oct, 00:30UK time
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreNew York Red Bulls 2-1 Toronto FC | 800 | |
| Double Chance1X | -450 | |
| Draw No BetNY Red Bulls | -300 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeNY Red Bulls / NY Red Bulls | 160 | |
| Asian HandicapToronto FC +1.5 | -211 | |
| European HandicapToronto FC +2 | -225 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -250 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -1200 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -300 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -120 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -250 | |
| Clean SheetNY Red Bulls: No | -400 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerEric Maxim Choupo-Moting | -138 | |
| First GoalscorerEric Maxim Choupo-Moting | 375 | |
| To be BookedJorge Ruvalcaba | 220 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferNew York Red Bulls Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldldlwwlwl | 1.10 |
| Home | ldllw | 0.80 |
| Away | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.66 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.61 | 1.57 |
Toronto FC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwddwlllwd | 1.30 |
| Home | dddwwd | 1.67 |
| Away | wlll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.50 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 2.17 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.73 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.67 | 1.49 | 1.94 |
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
New York Red Bulls (54%)
37 Matches
Toronto FC (14%)
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Past Results
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