Croatia will be aiming to bounce back from a shameful 7-0 defeat to England when they take on Spain in the Nations League round 4, with new boss Slaven Bilic already under big pressure. The Croatians struggled badly to keep possession at Wembley and will need a completely different performance here. Changes are expected, with Igor Matanovic, Mario Pasalic and Nikola Vlasic all pushing for starts. The Vatreni have endured plenty of defensive problems lately, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game across their last four home matches and failing to keep a clean sheet in any of them.
Spain, meanwhile, recorded a convincing 3-1 victory over Czech Republic to maintain their 100% record in Group 3. La Roja have been in sensational form, winning each of their last 10 matches while averaging 2.40 goals per game and conceding just 0.50. Mikel Merino is pushing for a start after scoring as a substitute against the Czechs, while Barcelona midfielder Fermin Lopez could also return to the starting XI. Luis de la Fuente's men have also won four consecutive away matches, keeping clean sheets in three of them.
Spain’s outstanding recent form and Croatia’s defensive struggles make Spain to Win our main betting tip, alongside Spain Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (86% H2H).
This Nations League match will be played on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Croatia vs Spain prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Croatia 1 - 3 Spain
Croatia vs Spain Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 120 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -211 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Lamine Yamal @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Lamine Yamal @ 333 Odds
- To be Booked: Mateo Kovacic @ 250 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Spain -1 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Spain -1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -900 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Spain to Win @ -900 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Spain to Win/Spain to Win @ -120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Spain - No @ -150 Odds
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View OfferCroatia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwlwwlwll | 1.20 |
| Home | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Away | llwlwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.75 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
Spain Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwwwww | 3.00 |
| Home | wwwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.83 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.93 | 2.40 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.77 | 0.52 | 1.13 |
Croatia vs Spain Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Croatia (29%)
7 Matches
Spain (57%)
Croatia vs Spain Past Results
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