Top position in Group 4 will be at stake when Estonia take on Iceland at A. Le Coq Arena, with the hosts looking to build on a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Luxembourg. Estonia are now eyeing a third consecutive clean sheet in the Nations League and would move to the top of the group with another win. Important defender Karol Mets is suspended, however, while there are no fresh injury concerns. Estonia have been solid defensively at home lately, conceding just 1.00 goal per game across their last four matches.
Iceland, meanwhile, aim to retain top spot after cruising to a 3-0 victory over Bulgaria. Real Sociedad forward Orri Oskarsson was the star of the show, scoring twice and adding an assist, and he will be the obvious man to watch again. Mikael Egill Ellertsson is suspended, leaving Iceland without an important midfield option. The visitors have also averaged 1.83 goals per game across their last six away matches, although their defensive record on the road has been less convincing, with 1.83 goals conceded per game.
Given Iceland’s stronger attacking numbers and superior overall form, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win. Additionally, Over 1.5 goals and Iceland Over 1.5 goals markets also look attractive given their scoring record away from home (1.83 goals per game).
This Nations League match will be played on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Estonia vs Iceland prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Estonia 1 - 2 Iceland
Estonia vs Iceland Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Orri Steinn Oskarsson @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Orri Steinn Oskarsson @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Iceland -0.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Estonia +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Iceland to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Iceland to Win/Iceland to Win @ 137 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Iceland - No @ -138 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Estonia vs Iceland?
You can place your bets on Estonia vs Iceland at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferEstonia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldlwdlddw | 1.10 |
| Home | dldw | 1.25 |
| Away | lwdldd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.75 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.55 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.43 | 1.60 |
Iceland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwdllwdw | 1.40 |
| Home | lwdw | 1.75 |
| Away | lwdllw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.50 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.61 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 0.86 | 1.51 |
Estonia vs Iceland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available





