Northern Ireland will look to build on a convincing 3-0 victory over Ukraine as they look to retain top position in Group 2. There are no fresh injury worries for the hosts, while Stoke City midfielder Justin Devenny is widely expected to sneak into the starting XI. Northern Ireland have been particularly impressive defensively at home, keeping clean sheets in three of their last four matches on home soil and conceding just 0.25 goals per game during that run.
Georgia, meanwhile, aim to recover from a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Hungary, with Otar Kiteishvili missing out through injury. Chicago Fire midfielder Anzor Mekvabishvili is likely to step up, while PSG ace Khvicha Kvaratskhelia remains the obvious man to watch after producing a fine individual display against Hungary. However, Georgia managed only 0.45 xG in that match, underlining their struggles to create clear-cut chances.
Northern Ireland’s excellent home defensive record and Georgia’s recent struggles in attack make Home Win our main betting option for this matchup, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (the hosts’ low-scoring home games).
This Nations League match will be played on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Northern Ireland vs Georgia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Northern Ireland 1 - 0 Georgia
Northern Ireland vs Georgia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2500 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia @ 240 Odds
- First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Tom Atcheson @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Northern Ireland 0 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Northern Ireland +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 140 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -250 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Northern Ireland to Win @ -138 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Northern Ireland to Win/Northern Ireland to Win @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Northern Ireland - Yes @ 150 Odds
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View OfferNorthern Ireland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwldwlwdw | 1.40 |
| Home | lwwd | 1.75 |
| Away | lldlww | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.60 | 0.75 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.25 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.01 | 1.07 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.36 | 1.74 |
Georgia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldwdwldl | 0.90 |
| Home | lddwld | 1.00 |
| Away | llwl | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.17 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.10 | 1.41 |
Northern Ireland vs Georgia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Northern Ireland (100%)
1 Matches
Georgia (0%)
Northern Ireland vs Georgia Past Results
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