Romania and Sweden go head to head at Arena Nationala in a crucial Nations League Group 4 encounter, with the hosts desperate to end a three-game losing run. Romania were thrashed 6-0 by Poland in round three, although Fiorentina defender Radu Dragusin was sent off at the start of the match. Dragusin will serve another suspension here, while Hannover defender Virgil Ghita is also banned, leaving Romania short of options at the back. Their home record does provide some optimism, with three wins from their last four matches at Arena Nationala and an impressive 3.00-goal average.
Sweden, on the other hand, shared the spoils with Bosnia in a 1-1 draw after previously recording back-to-back victories over Romania and Poland. Alexander Isak remains in the recovery room, while Celta defender Carl Starfelt is doubtful after picking up a knock against Bosnia. The Swedes have been involved in some remarkable goal-fests lately, with both teams finding the net in each of their last 10 matches and an average of 3.90 goals per game.
Cosnidering Romania’s strong home record and Sweden’s defensive problems, punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Over 2.5 Goals, alongside Sweden or Draw (better form), and Both Teams to Score (Sweden’s 90% BTTS rate).
This Nations League match will be played on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Romania vs Sweden prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Romania 2 - 2 Sweden
Romania vs Sweden Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1100 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Marius Marin @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Romania +1 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Romania +1 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -125 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 500 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Sweden - No @ -300 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Romania vs Sweden?
You can place your bets on Romania vs Sweden at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferRomania Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlldwlll | 1.00 |
| Home | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Away | llldll | 0.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 75% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.89 | 0.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.52 | 1.20 | 1.74 |
Sweden Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwldlwwd | 1.50 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Away | lldld | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.43 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.40 | 1.67 |
Romania vs Sweden Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Romania (25%)
4 Matches
Sweden (75%)
Romania vs Sweden Past Results
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