Ajax are predicted to win this clash 3-2, but they will need to work for it against an in-form NEC Nijmegen side. The Amsterdammers head into this matchup after a confident 4-1 victory over Fortuna Sittard, though the season-ending injury to Oleksandr Zinchenko forces Owen Wijndal into a bigger role. Ajax remain strong at home (2.00 PPG, just 1.00 goal conceded per match), with their expected goals of 2.27 showing they consistently create high-quality chances in Amsterdam.
Nijmegen, however, arrive as one of the league’s hottest teams. Their away record is outstanding (2.60 PPG, 80% win rate, scoring 2.60 per match) and they have remarkably failed to score in 0% of all games this season. Even without the experience of Tjarron Chery, their attack remains efficient and dangerous, reflected in a perfect 100% BTTS rate away from home.
Taking everything into account, we predict a high-tempo match with defensive gaps on both sides. Strong betting angles include Ajax to Win, Both Teams to score, and Over 2.5 goals.
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Ajax vs Nijmegen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ajax 2 - 1 Nijmegen
Ajax vs Nijmegen Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferAjax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlddw | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwlw | 2.00 |
| Away | wlwdd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.80 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 2.27 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.02 | 1.70 |
Nijmegen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwld | 2.30 |
| Home | dwwwl | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.82 | 1.90 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.39 | 1.26 |
Ajax vs Nijmegen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ajax (70%)
20 Matches
Nijmegen (5%)
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