As Breda continue to struggle for rhythm this season, taking just 0.60 points per game overall, we predict that they will suffer a 3-2 loss to NEC Nijmegen on Matchday 19. The hosts come into this match after a gritty 0-0 draw with Groningen but must cope without suspended defender Cherrion Valerius. Their home record offers only slight encouragement: Breda average 2.00 goals per home match, but most of that comes from conceding, with goals scored sitting at just 0.60 per game. The expected goals numbers (1.55 overall) show they create chances but lack efficiency in the final third.
NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, look far more balanced and enter in excellent form, taking 2.10 points per game and scoring an impressive 2.40 goals per match. Their 2-2 draw with Ajax showcased their attacking threat, though defensive vulnerabilities remain. Even with injuries to El Kachati, Entius, and Nuytinck, NEC boast strong away numbers: 2.00 points per game, 86% BTTS, and 2.43 goals scored per away match.
Given NEC's momentum and superior attacking potential, we are tempted to place our bets on Away Win, with additional value on Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals (NEC’s matches average nearly 4 goals per game.)
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Breda vs Nijmegen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Breda 2 - 3 Nijmegen
Breda vs Nijmegen Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-3
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
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View OfferBreda Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldld | 0.60 |
| Home | lwldl | 0.80 |
| Away | dllld | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.46 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.06 | 1.30 |
Nijmegen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwd | 2.10 |
| Home | wwd | 2.33 |
| Away | lwwdw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 3.33 | 4.14 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.33 | 2.43 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.71 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 86% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.84 | 1.75 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.63 | 1.42 |
Breda vs Nijmegen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Breda (36%)
14 Matches
Nijmegen (29%)
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