Groningen vs Breda Prediction & Betting Tips | 10/01/2026

Groningen vs Breda Prediction and Betting Tips | 10 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

6 January 2026 • 22:30 UTC • 1 min read

Groningen vs Breda Prediction and Betting Tips 10 January 2026

Groningen host NAC Breda in a matchup where both sides are desperate to improve their recent form. Given Breda's poor away record, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. The home side received positive news with Travis Hernes returning from injury after missing the 1-1 draw with Go Ahead Eagles. Groningen’s numbers at home remain fairly balanced: they average 1.50 goals scored and concede 1.25 per match, while their home expected goals (2.41) suggests they often create more than they convert. Overall, they take 30% of available wins and have registered a clean sheet in just 20% of matches.

NAC Breda arrive after a 1-0 defeat to Telstar and without fresh injury concerns, but their away record is concerning. They average only 0.25 points per game on the road and concede 1.75 goals per away match. Breda also fail to score in 50% of their away fixtures, though their overall BTTS rate still sits at 50%. Their expected goals away (1.77) shows they can create chances, but efficiency remains a major issue.

The H2H picture leans toward goals, with 82% BTTS and 82% over 1.5 goals across 17 meetings. Therefore, BTTS and Over 1.5 goals are our main betting tips, alongside Home Win due to Groningen's strong home metrics and Breda's difficulties on the road.

This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday 10 January 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Groningen vs Breda prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Groningen 2 - 1 Breda

Groningen vs Breda Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5

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Groningen Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlwwd	1.20
Home	lddw	1.25
Away	lllwd	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	25%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	2.75	3.00
Scored	1.30	1.50	1.17
Conceded	1.60	1.25	1.83
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
Clean Sheets	20%	25%	17%
Failed to Score	30%	25%	33%
Expected Goals	2.00	2.41	1.72
Expected Goals Against	1.20	0.77	1.48

Breda Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llldl	0.60
Home	lwldl	0.83
Away	dlll	0.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	17%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	2.33	2.75
Scored	0.90	0.83	1.00
Conceded	1.60	1.50	1.75
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
Clean Sheets	10%	17%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	33%	50%
Expected Goals	1.64	1.55	1.77
Expected Goals Against	1.13	1.09	1.19