PSV are brimming with confidence following a 2-1 win over Utrecht and given their positive record against Excelsior at Philips Stadion, we predict a 4-1 home win. Peter Bosz’s men are on the right track to defend their Eredivisie title, with the team leading the standings after 17 rounds. As PSV have been scoring 3.00 goals per game at home of late, the bookies see them as hot favourites to win Saturday’s encounter. Midfielder Jerdy Schouten is banned, but Peter Bosz has strength in depth.
The Rotterdammers, on the other hand, are eager to claim a major scalp in the Eredivisie round 18. Excelsior, though, have yet to defeat PSV at Phillips Stadion in the national championship and the visitors face yet another uphill in Saturday’s encounter. Their expected goals away numbers of 1.00 should not prove to be enough for the underdogs to grab something from the match. Talented forward Jerroldino Bergraaf is a major doubt after picking up a knock in a 2-1 win over Zwolle before the winter break.
David faces Goliath in Eindhoven. With PSV winning 94% of their last 18 encounters with Excelsior, Home Win seems like a sure bet, with additional value on PSV/PSV and Over 3.5 goals (56% H2H).
This Netherlands Eredivisie match will be played on Saturday 10 January 2026 at 19:00.
What is our PSV vs Excelsior prediction?
Our prediction for this match: PSV 4 - 1 Excelsior
PSV vs Excelsior Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 4-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ricardo Pepi @ -175 Odds
- To be booked: Gyan de Regt @ 220 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 9.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 12.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferPSV Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwww | 2.50 |
| Home | wlww | 2.25 |
| Away | wwwww | 2.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.70 | 4.50 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 2.15 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.66 |
Excelsior Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlw | 1.30 |
| Home | wlwlw | 1.80 |
| Away | llldw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.44 | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 1.63 | 1.97 |
PSV vs Excelsior Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
PSV (94%)
18 Matches
Excelsior (0%)
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