Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

16 May 2026

15:30

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AFS

AFS

Moreirense welcome already-relegated AFS in the final round of the Primeira Liga season, with the hosts still hoping to secure a top-seven finish. As AFS are not regarded as good travellers, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-0 home win. Despite inconsistent recent form, Moreirense have been more competitive at home, collecting 1.40 points per game from their last five ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 May 2026 at 15:30

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

16 May 2026

15:30

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Porto will look to celebrate their newly-crowned Primeira Liga title in style when they welcome Santa Clara to Estadio do Dragao in the final round of the season. As Porto aim to give fans yet another reason to celebrate, we predict a 2-0 home win. The Dragons have been solid rather than spectacular lately, collecting 1.80 points per game from their last 10 matches, but thei ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 May 2026 at 15:30

Arouca

Arouca

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

16 May 2026

18:00

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Tondela

Tondela

Arouca and Tondela face off in the final round of the Primeira Liga season with very different motivations. As both sides are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach in Saturday's game, we predict a 2-2 draw. The hosts are comfortably safe in 10th place and have little left to play for, though they have been competitive at home lately, averaging 1.75 goals scored per game ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 May 2026 at 18:00

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

16 May 2026

18:00

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Estrela

Estrela

Braga welcome relegation-threatened Estrela to Estadio Municipal in the final round of the Primeira Liga season. As Estrela do not seem to be at their sharpest despite their desire for survival, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Reds no longer have much to play for after securing fourth place, but they showed their quality in an entertaining 2-2 draw with Benfica last time out. ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 May 2026 at 18:00

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

16 May 2026

18:00

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Casa Pia will look to secure Primeira Liga survival when they host Rio Ave in a tense final-round encounter. As Rio Ave have nothing to play for in Saturday's game, we predict a 1-0 home win. The Lisbon side boosted their confidence with a hard-fought 1-0 win over Guimaraes last time out, and they receive a massive squad boost as Brito, Cassiano, Geraldes, Livolant, and Moha ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 May 2026 at 18:00

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

16 May 2026

18:00

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Nacional head into the final round of the Primeira Liga season knowing that a single point should be enough to guarantee survival. As both sides should be happy with one point from Saturday's clash, we predict a 2-2 draw. The hosts will be desperate to bounce back after consecutive defeats to AFS and Santa Clara, but their home form offers some encouragement, with two wins f ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 May 2026 at 18:00

Estoril

Estoril

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

16 May 2026

20:30

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Benfica

Benfica

Benfica travel to Estoril knowing only a victory will keep their hopes of sneaking into the Champions League alive in the final round of the Primeira Liga season. Estoril, meanwhile, sit comfortably in mid-table with little left to play for and arrive on a poor run of form. The hosts have failed to win any of their last four home games and average only 0.50 goals scored per ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 May 2026 at 20:30

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

16 May 2026

20:30

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Alverca

Alverca

Famalicao will look to extend their impressive unbeaten streak when they host Alverca in the final round of the Primeira Liga campaign. Given Famalicao's fine form, we predict a 1-0 home win. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 11 league matches and have been particularly solid defensively, conceding just 0.80 goals per game across their last 10 outings. Although Famalicao ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 May 2026 at 20:30

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

16 May 2026

20:30

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Sporting CP will be eager to clinch their spot in the Champions League when they take on Gil Vicente in the final game of the Primeira Liga season. Given the huge gap in quality and motivation between the two teams, we predict a 3-0 home win. Despite missing suspended defender Ousmane Diomande, the Lions still look well-equipped for the task thanks to their impressive squad ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 May 2026 at 20:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
14 May 2026 • 08:55 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
PortoPortoSanta ClaraSanta Clara16/05/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
MoreirenseMoreirenseAFSAFS16/05/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaTondelaTondela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
BragaBragaEstrelaEstrela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Casa PiaCasa PiaRio AveRio Ave16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
NacionalNacionalGuimaraesGuimaraes16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
EstorilEstorilBenficaBenfica16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
SportingSportingGil VicenteGil Vicente16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.49
Away Teams 1.2
Total (Combined) 2.69
33.4 min/Goal (800 Goals in 297 matches)
57% Clean Sheets (173 times out of 297 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (143 times out of 297 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.14
Shots / Match (Home) 12.71
Shots / Match (Away) 11.44
Fouls Per Match 27.56
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.86
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.69
Offsides Per Match 3.12
Players Participated 640

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 33 27 4 2 65 18 +47 85 WWWWL
2 Sporting CP 33 24 7 2 86 24 +62 79 LDDWW
3 Benfica 33 22 11 0 71 24 +47 77 WWWDD
4 Sporting Braga 33 16 10 7 62 34 +28 58 DWLDD
5 Famalicão 33 14 11 8 41 29 +12 53 DDWDD
6 Gil Vicente 33 13 11 9 47 35 +12 50 DLWDL
7 Vitória Guimarães 33 12 6 15 39 49 -10 42 DWWLL
8 Moreirense FC 33 12 6 15 37 49 -12 42 DWLWL
9 GD Estoril Praia 33 10 9 14 53 54 -1 39 LLLDD
10 Alverca 33 10 9 14 35 51 -16 39 WLWLD
11 FC Arouca 33 11 6 16 44 63 -19 39 LWLDW
12 Santa Clara 33 9 9 15 32 40 -8 36 LDWDW
13 Rio Ave FC 33 8 11 14 34 56 -22 35 WDLDL
14 CD Nacional 33 8 7 18 35 45 -10 31 LWWLL
15 Estrela Amadora 33 6 11 16 36 54 -18 29 LLLLD
16 Casa Pia 33 6 11 16 30 56 -26 29 DLLLW
17 CD Tondela 33 6 10 17 26 52 -26 28 LLDWW
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 27 67 -40 20 DDDWW

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
10/05/2026, 17:00 AVS 3 - 1 Porto
10/05/2026, 19:30 Alverca 1 - 1 GD Estoril Praia
11/05/2026, 19:15 Gil Vicente 1 - 3 FC Arouca
11/05/2026, 19:15 Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting Braga
11/05/2026, 19:15 Vitória Guimarães 0 - 1 Casa Pia
11/05/2026, 19:15 Rio Ave FC 1 - 4 Sporting CP
11/05/2026, 19:15 Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 Famalicão
11/05/2026, 19:15 CD Tondela 2 - 0 Moreirense FC
11/05/2026, 19:15 Santa Clara 2 - 0 CD Nacional

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
16/05/2026, 14:30 Moreirense FC - AVS
16/05/2026, 14:30 Porto - Santa Clara
16/05/2026, 17:00 FC Arouca - CD Tondela
16/05/2026, 17:00 Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
16/05/2026, 17:00 CD Nacional - Vitória Guimarães
16/05/2026, 17:00 Casa Pia - Rio Ave FC
16/05/2026, 19:30 GD Estoril Praia - Benfica
16/05/2026, 19:30 Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
16/05/2026, 19:30 Famalicão - Alverca

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Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

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  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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