AFS vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips | 17/01/2026

AFS vs Arouca Prediction and Betting Tips | 17 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

14 January 2026 • 15:40 UTC • 1 min read

AFS vs Arouca Prediction and Betting Tips 17 January 2026

AFS return to action aiming to halt their poor run of form, having lost three of their last four matches and scoring just 0.7 goals per game overall. As AFS and Arouca seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. Their home performances have been marginally better, with 67% BTTS and a slightly stronger expected goals output (1.40 xG at home), yet they still struggle to convert chances and have failed to score in 33% of home fixtures. Defensively, AFS remain vulnerable, conceding 1.5 goals per home match, which contributes to their lack of wins this season.

Arouca, meanwhile, welcome back defender Amadou Dante from international duty. Despite their overall struggles—just 0.5 points per game and no away victories—they have been more competitive in attack on the road, averaging 1.0 goal away and showing a high 67% BTTS rate in away matches. Their defensive issues persist, however, with 2.83 goals conceded per away match and only 17% clean sheets.

Historically, Arouca dominate this matchup with 3 wins in 4 meetings, while 75% BTTS indicates open contests. Given both sides’ defensive weaknesses and high BTTS trends, we believe that there is big value in betting on Both Teams to Score. Additionally, Draw and Half-Time Draw bets seem appealing.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 18:00.

What is our AFS vs Arouca prediction?

Our prediction for this match: AFS 1 - 1 Arouca

AFS vs Arouca Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Anytime Goalscorer: Antonio Tomane @ 137 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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AFS Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwdll	0.70
Home	ddldl	0.67
Away	llwl	0.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	0%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	2.50	3.25
Scored	0.70	1.00	0.25
Conceded	2.10	1.50	3.00
BTTS	40%	67%	0%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	25%
Failed to Score	50%	33%	75%
Expected Goals	1.17	1.40	0.83
Expected Goals Against	1.79	1.60	2.07

Arouca Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwddl	0.50
Home	llwd	1.00
Away	llldl	0.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	25%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	3.40	2.75	3.83
Scored	0.90	0.75	1.00
Conceded	2.50	2.00	2.83
BTTS	50%	25%	67%
Clean Sheets	20%	25%	17%
Failed to Score	40%	50%	33%
Expected Goals	1.14	1.44	1.00
Expected Goals Against	1.50	1.10	1.70