AFS take on Rio Ave on Matchday 14 in what is expected to be a tight 2-1 away win due to Os Rioavistas' fine displays on the road. AFS’ season has been defined by narrow margins and attacking inefficiency, reflected in just a 10% win rate and a high 50% failure-to-score rate. Their home performances offer slightly more stability, yet they still concede 1.80 goals per game in front of home fans. Expected goals data (1.26 xG at home vs 1.53 xGA) suggests their struggles at both ends.
Rio Ave, meanwhile, arrive with a perfectly symmetrical profile — averaging exactly 1.00 point per game overall, at home, and away. Their defensive fragility is reflected in 1.70 goals conceded per match and a notably high BTTS rate away from home (83%). English defender Omar Richards is sidelined with injury, but having made only three league appearances all season, he should not be sorely missed. Rio Ave’s away xG of 1.15 and xGA of 1.96 further underline their tendency to be involved in open, chance-filled encounters on the road.
With both teams struggling for control and difficulties at the back, the most tempting betting options are BTTS, Over 2.5 Goals, and Rio Ave to Win.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 6 December 2025 at 18:00.
What is our AFS vs Rio Ave prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AFS 1 - 2 Rio Ave
AFS vs Rio Ave Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Antonio Tomane @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferAFS Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldddl | 0.60 |
| Home | llddd | 0.60 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.53 | 1.24 |
Rio Ave Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldd | 1.00 |
| Home | lwld | 1.00 |
| Away | ddlwd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.05 | 0.89 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.87 | 1.73 | 1.96 |
AFS vs Rio Ave Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AFS (50%)
2 Matches
Rio Ave (0%)
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