Alverca and Nacional meet in what promises to be another evenly-matched Primeira Liga contest, with our prediction leaning toward a 2-2 draw. Custodio Castro's troops are tough to beat at home, averaging 1.75 points per game at home, winning half of their matches and keeping 50% clean sheets. Their home games are usually lower-scoring (2.25 goals per match) compared to their away fixtures, but they remain efficient, supported by solid underlying numbers (xG 1.28 vs xGA 1.52). The hosts enter this clash without any fresh injury worries, allowing them to maintain stability in selection.
The visitors, on the other hand, continue to be more competitive away from home, collecting 1.33 points per game on the road and scoring consistently (1.33 goals per match). Their overall BTTS rate sits at a high 70%, and their expected goals profile away from home (1.30) suggests they will create chances again here. Importantly, they were unlucky to suffer a 2-1 defeat to Benfica at the weekend, conceding two late goals after a strong showing. There are no fresh injury concerns in the visiting team.
Given the aforementioned statistical numbers, BTTS, Over 2.5 Goals, and Nacional or Draw look like the most reasonable betting picks.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 7 December 2025 at 18:00.
What is our Alverca vs Nacional prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Alverca 2 - 2 Nacional
Alverca vs Nacional Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Felipe Lima @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferAlverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldw | 1.40 |
| Home | wwld | 1.75 |
| Away | wdllw | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.25 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.28 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.52 | 1.33 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldll | 1.10 |
| Home | lwll | 0.75 |
| Away | wwddl | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.85 | 1.35 |
Alverca vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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