Arouca will try to claim a major scalp when they face Benfica in the Primeira Liga round 26, but with Jose Mourinho's men proving their worth in a 2-2 draw with Porto, we predict a 3-1 away win. Arouca may be without key defender Javier Sanchez after he picked up a knock in the 1-0 loss to Famalicao. Even so, their home form has been respectable—1.75 points per game and 2.25 goals scored per match—making them competitive at the Estadio Municipal.
Benfica, meanwhile, head into the match with no fresh injury concerns after the aforementioned 2-2 comeback draw against Porto. Under Jose Mourinho, the Eagles continue chasing the title, boasting 2.00 points per game overall and a strong away record with 1.75 PPG. The capital club concede just 1.00 goal per away match and have won 17 of their last 20 meetings with Arouca—an extremely dominant H2H trend.
Goal stats also point towards an open encounter: Arouca’s home matches average 3.75 goals, while Benfica’s away fixtures average 2.25. Historically, 70% of H2Hs finish over 2.5 goals. Therefore, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for this Primeira Liga matchup, alongside Away Win and Pavlidis to Score.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Arouca vs Benfica prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arouca 1 - 3 Benfica
Arouca vs Benfica Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ -163 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 260 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Benfica -1.5 @ -118 Odds
- European Handicap: Benfica -1 @ -125 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Benfica to Win @ -1200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Benfica to Win/Benfica to Win @ -120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Benfica - No @ -125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Arouca vs Benfica?
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View OfferArouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwlwwlwll | 1.30 |
| Home | dlww | 1.75 |
| Away | lwwlll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.23 |
Benfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwwlwlwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwlwd | 2.17 |
| Away | dwlw | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 2.05 | 2.30 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.12 |
Arouca vs Benfica Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arouca (5%)
20 Matches
Benfica (85%)
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