Arouca aim to return to winning ways following a goalless draw with Santa Clara and given Gil Vicente's attacking potential, a 2-2 draw is on the cards at Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Os Lobos average only 1.00 PPG at home, while their attack has struggled, scoring just 0.50 goals per home match despite generating 1.35 expected goals on this ground. Defensive issues remain a bigger concern, with Arouca conceding 2.25 goals per home game and keeping only 25% clean sheets. To make matters worse, key defender Amadou Dante is on international duty, and fellow centre-back Boris Popovic is a major doubt after a knock picked up in the 0-0 draw against Santa Clara.
Os Galos, meanwhile, head into Sunday's clash in better rhythm, going unbeaten in five (DLDDD) and showing more consistency at both ends of the pitch. They produce 1.50 expected goals overall, while conceding only 1.09 xGA, making them statistically stronger in both creation and defensive stability. Their away scoring rate of 1.33 goals per match highlights a more reliable attacking structure than Arouca’s. There are no fresh injury concerns for Gil Vicente after their 2-2 draw with Rio Ave, boosting their continuity and tactical stability.
As both teams average above 3.0 total goals per match this season, Over 2.5 goals bet should be considered, with additional value on BTTS and BTTS First Half.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 28 December 2025 at 15:30.
What is our Arouca vs Gil Vicente prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arouca 2 - 1 Gil Vicente
Arouca vs Gil Vicente Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Pablo Felipe @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferArouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwd | 0.80 |
| Home | dllw | 1.00 |
| Away | lllld | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.25 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 2.20 | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.12 | 1.35 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.05 | 1.79 |
Gil Vicente Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlddd | 1.30 |
| Home | wwld | 1.75 |
| Away | lwddd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.66 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 1.08 | 1.11 |
Arouca vs Gil Vicente Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arouca (53%)
17 Matches
Gil Vicente (0%)
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