Arouca look to build on their impressive 3-0 win over Rio Ave, a performance that finally reflected their underlying numbers. However, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 Guimaraes win as they have been producing fine performances on the road of lat.e Los Lobos sit at 1.38 expected goals per match, and with defender Matias Rocha back from suspension, their back line should be more stable than in recent weeks. At home, Arouca average 1.00 goal scored and 2.00 conceded, showing inconsistency but also the potential to trouble stronger sides.
Guimaraes arrive in solid form, winning three of their last five and collecting 1.75 points per game away from home, a strong return at this stage. Os Conquistadores concede just 1.25 goals on average away and keep clean sheets in 50% of their road matches. Offensively they produce 1.44 expected goals away, slightly higher than Arouca’s home output. The suspension of Maga isn’t a major blow given his non-regular status. H2H history clearly leans toward Guimaraes: 8 wins in 18 meetings, while Arouca have only 3.
Considering Guimaraes' fine away form and better H2H record, we are tempted to place our bets on Away Win, with additional value on BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (Arouca’s home stats support goals).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 20:30.
What is our Arouca vs Guimaraes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arouca 1 - 2 Guimaraes
Arouca vs Guimaraes Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ejike Opara @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ejike Opara @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Guimaraes +0.5 @ -223 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -250 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Guimaraes to Win @ -125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Arouca vs Guimaraes?
You can place your bets on Arouca vs Guimaraes at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferArouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwlw | 1.10 |
| Home | lwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | ldlww | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.34 |
Guimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllw | 1.60 |
| Home | lwwlw | 1.50 |
| Away | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.33 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.27 |
Arouca vs Guimaraes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arouca (17%)
18 Matches
Guimaraes (44%)
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Newcastle
Everton
Liverpool
West Ham
Burnley
Brentford
Barcelona
Villarreal
Borussia Dortmund
Bayern Munich
