Benfica return home looking to respond after a frustrating 0-0 draw with Tondela, a match in which they created plenty but couldn’t convert. As Benfica have turned their Estadio da Luz into a real fortress, we predict that they will defeat Alverca 3-0 on Sunday evening. The Eagles' home stats remain elite: 2.40 points per game, 2.60 goals scored, and an impressive 80% home win rate. Mourinho’s side also generate 1.99 expected goals at home, showing their attack consistently produces chances. With no fresh injury issues, the hosts should line up at full strength.
Alverca travel to Lisbon with mixed form and a concerning away record—just 0.75 points per game on the road and 2.50 goals conceded per away match. Their attack remains modest, averaging 0.75 goals away, and they have failed to score in 50% of those games. Sabit Abdulai’s likely absence further weakens their midfield structure, making ball retention a challenge.
Considering huge gap in quality between the two sides and home strength, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Benfica to Score in Both Halves. It has to be noted that Benfica have been averaging 3.80 goals at home of late.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 8 February 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Benfica vs Alverca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Benfica 3 - 0 Alverca
Benfica vs Alverca Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ -175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 240 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Benfica -1.5 @ -191 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -1000 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Benfica to Win @ -3300 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Benfica vs Alverca?
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View OfferBenfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwd | 1.70 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | dlwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 2.04 | 1.99 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 0.99 | 1.05 |
Alverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwwd | 1.83 |
| Away | wlll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.34 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.34 | 1.47 |
Benfica vs Alverca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Benfica (100%)
1 Matches
Alverca (0%)
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