What is our Benfica vs Nacional prediction?
Benfica
3 - 0
Nacional
Our prediction for this match: Benfica 3 - 0 Nacional
Benfica vs Nacional Preview
Benfica return home looking to respond after a frustrating 1-1 draw with Casa Pia, and they’ll be boosted by the return of right-back Amar Dedic. As Nacional are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a routine 3-0 home win. Benfica's recent form remains strong, averaging 2.00 points per game, with a solid attacking output of 1.80 goals per match and an impressive 2.11 expected goals at home. Defensively, Jose Mourinho's men are reliable at home as well, conceding just 0.80 goals per game.
Nacional travel to Lisbon with renewed confidence after a 2-0 win over Estrela, but their overall form is still weak, collecting only 0.80 points per game. Their away performances are particularly poor, with no wins and just 0.25 points per game, scoring only 0.50 goals per match. Injuries to Baeza and Jose Gomes, along with the suspension of key midfielder Paulinho Boia, further weaken their chances against top opposition. Head-to-head heavily favors Benfica, who have won 86% of the last 21 meetings, with 81% of those matches producing over 2.5 goals.
Given Benfica's fine home form and dominant H2H, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals (81% H2H) and Benfica -1.5.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday, 12 April 2026 at 18:00.
- Competition
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sun 12 Apr, 18:00UK time
Benfica vs Nacional Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreBenfica 3-0 Nacional | 650 | |
| Double Chance12 | -1000 | |
| Draw No BetBenfica | -2000 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeBenfica / Benfica | -175 | |
| Asian HandicapBenfica -1.5 | -200 | |
| European HandicapBenfica -1 | -200 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreNo | -134 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -900 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -250 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -125 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -300 | |
| Clean SheetBenfica: Yes | -125 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerVangelis Pavlidis | -200 | |
| First GoalscorerVangelis Pavlidis | 240 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferBenfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwlwdwwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | wlwwd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.85 | 2.11 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.19 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldllldllw | 0.80 |
| Home | wdlllw | 1.17 |
| Away | lldl | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.83 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.67 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.40 |
Benfica vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Benfica (86%)
21 Matches
Nacional (5%)
Benfica vs Nacional Past Results
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