Benfica vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips | 12/04/2026

Benfica vs Nacional Prediction and Betting Tips | 12 April 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

9 April 2026 • 07:48 UTC • 1 min read

Benfica vs Nacional Prediction and Betting Tips 12 April 2026

Benfica return home looking to respond after a frustrating 1-1 draw with Casa Pia, and they’ll be boosted by the return of right-back Amar Dedic. As Nacional are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a routine 3-0 home win. Benfica's recent form remains strong, averaging 2.00 points per game, with a solid attacking output of 1.80 goals per match and an impressive 2.11 expected goals at home. Defensively, Jose Mourinho's men are reliable at home as well, conceding just 0.80 goals per game.

Nacional travel to Lisbon with renewed confidence after a 2-0 win over Estrela, but their overall form is still weak, collecting only 0.80 points per game. Their away performances are particularly poor, with no wins and just 0.25 points per game, scoring only 0.50 goals per match. Injuries to Baeza and Jose Gomes, along with the suspension of key midfielder Paulinho Boia, further weaken their chances against top opposition. Head-to-head heavily favors Benfica, who have won 86% of the last 21 meetings, with 81% of those matches producing over 2.5 goals.

Given Benfica's fine home form and dominant H2H, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals (81% H2H) and Benfica -1.5.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 18:00.

What is our Benfica vs Nacional prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Benfica 3 - 0 Nacional

Benfica vs Nacional Betting Tips

Correct Score: 3-0 @ 650 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -134 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ -200 Odds
First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 240 Odds
Asian Handicap: Benfica -1.5 @ -200 Odds
European Handicap: Benfica -1 @ -200 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -1000 Odds
Draw No Bet: Benfica to Win @ -2000 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Benfica to Win/Benfica to Win @ -175 Odds
Clean Sheet: Benfica - Yes @ -125 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Benfica vs Nacional?

You can place your bets on Benfica vs Nacional at the following bookmakers:

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Benfica Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwlwlwdwwd	2.00
Home	wlwdw	2.00
Away	wlwwd	2.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	60%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	2.80	2.80
Scored	1.80	2.00	1.60
Conceded	1.00	0.80	1.20
BTTS	70%	40%	100%
Clean Sheets	20%	40%	0%
Failed to Score	10%	20%	0%
Expected Goals	1.85	2.11	1.59
Expected Goals Against	1.20	1.21	1.19

Nacional Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wldllldllw	0.80
Home	wdlllw	1.17
Away	lldl	0.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.00	1.83	2.25
Scored	0.90	1.17	0.50
Conceded	1.10	0.67	1.75
BTTS	30%	17%	50%
Clean Sheets	30%	50%	0%
Failed to Score	50%	50%	50%
Expected Goals	1.48	1.52	1.43
Expected Goals Against	1.35	1.33	1.40