Sparkles will be flying when Benfica and Porto lock horns in the Primeira Liga derby on Sunday evening. As Benfica have found their best form of late, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 home win. The Eagles are not enjoying a season to remember, but their four-game winning run is surely giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of Porto’s visit. With Jose Mourinho’s men conceding only 0.80 goals per home game of late, a low-scoring derby is on the cards. Midfielder Fredrik Aursnes misses out with injury, but Jose Mourinho has strength in depth.
The Dragons, on the other hand, are still without top scorer Samu, who remains in the recovery room. Despite his absence, Porto have won each of their last three league matches to retain top position in the standings, but beating Benfica at Estadio da Luz is easier said than done. The fact that the league leaders have been conceding only 0.70 goals per game of late definitely supports our betting angle. Defender Jan Bednarek unlikely to feature for Porto after picking up a knock in the Taca de Portugal loss to Sporting CP.
As both Benfica and Porto are likely to adopt a cautious approach in Sunday’s derby, Under 2.5 goals seems like a sure bet. Additionally, Over 5.5 yellow cards and Benfica to Win bets seem appealing (Porto struggle up front without Samu).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Benfica vs Porto prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Benfica 1 - 0 Porto
Benfica vs Porto Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -2000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -550 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 162 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: William Carvalho @ -175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Benfica 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: Benfica +1 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Benfica to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Benfica to Win/Benfica to Win @ 240 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Benfica - Yes @ 120 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Benfica vs Porto?
You can place your bets on Benfica vs Porto at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferBenfica Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdwwlwlw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Away | ldwlw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 2.01 | 2.33 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 1.07 | 1.17 |
Porto Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwldwwwl | 2.00 |
| Home | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Away | wdlwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 0.88 | 1.17 |
Benfica vs Porto Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Benfica (28%)
40 Matches
Porto (50%)
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