Casa Pia continue to struggle at home, and their numbers reflect it. Given their recent low-scoring H2H meetings with Guimaraes, we predict a goalless draw (0-0) at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Casa Pia have taken just 0.25 PPG on their own ground (0-1-3), scoring only 1.25 goals per home match while conceding a worrying 2.50. Their overall expected goals remains modest (0.98), showing clear difficulties in consistently creating chances. Midfielder Iyad Mohamed is away on international duty, but given he is not a regular starter, the impact on their structure should be minimal.
Vitoria Guimaraes, meanwhile, come into this fixture with stronger momentum despite losing two of their last three. Their away form is excellent — 2.25 PPG and a 75% win rate on the road. Luis Pinto's men concede just 0.75 goals per away game, supported by a solid defensive base backed by 50% clean sheets. Their attack is not explosive but efficient, generating 1.22 expected goals away from home. The main setback is the suspension of important forward Nelson Oliveira, which slightly reduces their goal threat but does not fully undermine their structural advantage.
With each of their last seven H2H meetings featuring 2 or fewer goals, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 28 December 2025 at 15:30.
What is our Casa Pia vs Guimaraes prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Casa Pia 0 - 0 Guimaraes
Casa Pia vs Guimaraes Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Cassiano Dias @ 210 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Under 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferCasa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldlw | 1.10 |
| Home | lldl | 0.25 |
| Away | ldwlw | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 0.98 | 1.09 | 0.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.21 | 1.25 |
Guimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwll | 1.60 |
| Home | wwdll | 1.17 |
| Away | lwww | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.83 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.68 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.29 | 1.51 |
Casa Pia vs Guimaraes Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Casa Pia (29%)
7 Matches
Guimaraes (29%)
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