Casa Pia and Tondela lock horns in a tense relegation battle with both sides desperate for points to climb away from danger. As Tondela do not seem to be at their sharpest, we predict a 1-0 home win. Casa Pia come into this game after a 2-1 loss to Gil Vicente, averaging just 0.80 points per game over their last 10 matches. Their home form is slightly better at 1.20 PPG, but they score only 0.60 goals per game and fail to score in 60% of matches. Defensive numbers are also shaky with 1.40 conceded per game, while expected goals sit at 1.00, showing limited attacking output. Goalkeeper Ricardo Batista is injured, though not a key starter.
Tondela, on the other hand, are in even worse shape, sitting in the relegation zone and winless in most recent runs (0.90 PPG over last 10. Los Auriverdes average just 0.90 goals scored per match and concede 1.50, with a 50% failure-to-score rate. Defender Tiago Manso is suspended, weakening their back line further.
Considering both teams's poor attack output, there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Casa Pia to Win (slightly better home stability), and Casa Pia to Win to Nil.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Casa Pia vs Tondela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Casa Pia 1 - 0 Tondela
Casa Pia vs Tondela Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 600 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cassiano Dias @ 160 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Cassiano Dias @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Casa Pia 0 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Casa Pia +1 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Casa Pia to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Casa Pia to Win/Casa Pia to Win @ 275 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Casa Pia - Yes @ 162 Odds
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View OfferCasa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlddldldll | 0.70 |
| Home | wdddl | 1.20 |
| Away | ldlll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 0.98 | 0.95 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.23 | 1.66 |
Tondela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwdldldll | 0.80 |
| Home | ddlddl | 0.67 |
| Away | dwll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.17 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.33 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.19 | 1.47 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.40 | 1.79 |
Casa Pia vs Tondela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Casa Pia (100%)
1 Matches
Tondela (0%)
Casa Pia vs Tondela Past Results
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