Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips | 07/03/2026

Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction and Betting Tips | 7 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

5 March 2026 • 10:32 UTC • 1 min read

Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction and Betting Tips 7 March 2026

Estoril Praia will look to return to winning ways when they host Casa Pia after suffering a heavy 3-0 defeat to Sporting CP at the weekend. Given their fine home record, we predict a 2-1 win for Os Canarinhos. Despite that loss, Estoril have been impressive overall, collecting 1.90 points per game and winning 60% of their matches. Ian Cathro's troops are particularly strong at home where they boast an 80% win rate and average 2.80 goals scored per match, while games at their ground produce 4.00 goals on average. However, midfielder Joao Carvalho is suspended, which could slightly disrupt their midfield creativity.

Casa Pia head into the match after a 1-1 draw with Moreirense, but their away record remains concerning. The visitors collect just 0.80 points per game on the road, scoring only 0.60 goals per away match while conceding 1.80 on average. Their squad is also weakened by injuries to experienced defender Jose Fonte and Kiki, while David Sousa serves a suspension.

As Estoril have an 80% home win rate and a much stronger attack, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (Estoril matches average 4.10 goals per game).

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 20:30.

What is our Estoril vs Casa Pia prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Estoril 2 - 1 Casa Pia

Estoril vs Casa Pia Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Fabrico Andrade @ -120 Odds
First Goalscorer: Fabrico Andrade @ 300 Odds
Asian Handicap: Estoril -0.5 @ -138 Odds
European Handicap: Casa Pia +2 @ -250 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
Draw No Bet: Estoril to Win @ -350 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Estoril to Win/Estoril to Win @ 162 Odds
Clean Sheet: Estoril - No @ -200 Odds

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Estoril Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwlwwwdlwl	1.90
Home	wwwdw	2.60
Away	lwwll	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	80%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	4.10	4.00	4.20
Scored	2.40	2.80	2.00
Conceded	1.70	1.20	2.20
BTTS	60%	80%	40%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	40%
Expected Goals	1.44	1.57	1.31
Expected Goals Against	1.41	1.36	1.45

Casa Pia Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdlldwdwld	1.30
Home	ddwwd	1.80
Away	wlldl	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	40%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	3.20	2.40
Scored	1.20	1.80	0.60
Conceded	1.60	1.40	1.80
BTTS	60%	80%	40%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	40%	20%	60%
Expected Goals	0.98	0.88	1.08
Expected Goals Against	1.74	1.70	1.77