Estoril vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips | 07/02/2026

Estoril vs Tondela Prediction and Betting Tips | 7 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

5 February 2026 • 08:37 UTC • 1 min read

Estoril vs Tondela Prediction and Betting Tips 7 February 2026

Estoril come into this matchup full of confidence after a 4-2 win over Guimaraes and an impressive run of 16 goals scored across their last four league matches. As Os Canarinhos look unstoppable at the moment, we predict that they will defeat Tondela 2-1. Even without suspended defender Kevin Boma, Estoril's attacking momentum remains the story: Estoril average 2.60 goals per home game and generate a solid 1.51 expected goals at home. Defensively they are less stable, conceding 1.60 on average, but their firepower often compensates.

Tondela, meanwhile, continue to struggle in the final third. Cristiano Bacci's men have failed to score in 60% of league matches and average just 0.60 goals overall, with key defender Emmanuel Maviram doubtful. Their away form is also poor, taking only 0.75 points per game and conceding 1.75 on the road. Tondela’s expected goals numbers (0.95 away) further reflect their limited attacking threat.

Given Estoril's current form and statistical trends, we believe that punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals as Estoril home games average 4.20 goals.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 18:00.

What is our Estoril vs Tondela prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Estoril 2 - 1 Tondela

Estoril vs Tondela Betting Tips

Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Fabrico Andrade @ -120 Odds
First Goalscorer: Fabrico Andrade @ 300 Odds
Asian Handicap: Estoril -0.5 @ -149 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
Draw No Bet: Estoril to Win @ -350 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Estoril vs Tondela?

You can place your bets on Estoril vs Tondela at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Estoril Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wlwww	1.60
Home	ldwww	2.00
Away	lllww	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	4.10	4.20	4.00
Scored	2.30	2.60	2.00
Conceded	1.80	1.60	2.00
BTTS	60%	80%	40%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	40%
Expected Goals	1.41	1.51	1.31
Expected Goals Against	1.49	1.39	1.59

Tondela Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wllld	0.80
Home	llwld	0.83
Away	wlll	0.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	17%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	1.90	1.67	2.25
Scored	0.60	0.67	0.50
Conceded	1.30	1.00	1.75
BTTS	30%	33%	25%
Clean Sheets	30%	33%	25%
Failed to Score	60%	67%	50%
Expected Goals	1.07	1.14	0.95
Expected Goals Against	1.43	1.64	1.12