After failing to spoil Sporting’s party at Estadio Jose Alvalade, Estrela aim to get back on course in Primeira Liga. Given Arouca’s dreadful losing run, we predict that the hosts will do so with a 2-1 win over Vasco Seabra’s troops. Os Tricolores have managed just one home victory this season, and notably, 60% of their last 5 outings in front of home fans have seen both teams score. Forward Jefferson Encada remains on the sidelines, but the Guinea-Bissau international should not be sorely missed.
Arouca, on the other hand, are running down a blind alley, with the team losing each of their last five games in all competitions. With the team conceding 3.4 goals per game in those encounters, we are not tempted to bet on the relegation strugglers. To make things even worse, all Tiago Esgaio, Alex Pinto, and Jose Fontan are out of contention through suspension for the visiting team.
Given Arouca’s shaky defence and aforementioned absentees, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, with additional value on Arouca/Arouca and Home Team Over 1.5 goals.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 7 December 2025 at 18:00.
What is our Estrela vs Arouca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Estrela 2 - 1 Arouca
Estrela vs Arouca Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Joao Gastao @ 120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferEstrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdl | 0.90 |
| Home | lwld | 1.00 |
| Away | dllwl | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Expected Goals | 1.10 | 1.31 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.29 | 1.66 |
Arouca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllll | 0.70 |
| Home | lldll | 0.20 |
| Away | wwlll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.08 | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.35 | 1.78 |
Estrela vs Arouca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Estrela (25%)
4 Matches
Arouca (50%)
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