Estrela return home after a 1-1 draw with Alverca and with Santa Clara struggling for form, yet another 1-1 draw is on the cards. The hosts face this match without Paulo Moreira (suspended) and likely Kevin Jansson (injured), two important midfielders who contribute to ball progression and defensive control. Their numbers underline the concern: Estrela concede 2.40 goals per match overall, and despite averaging 1.40 goals scored at home, their xGA at their stadium sits at 1.51, showing persistent defensive vulnerability.
Santa Clara are on a four-game losing streak, but their underlying metrics are slightly more encouraging. They concede 1.50 goals per match – almost one goal fewer than Estrela – and their xGA (1.14 overall) suggests they usually limit opponents to low-quality chances. The issue is scoring: they have a 50% fail-to-score rate away, and only 0.90 goals per match across all venues.
With Estrela missing key midfielders and Santa Clara more stable defensively, a tight, low-event game is likely. As both teams have scoring issues, Under 2.5 goals seems like the best betting option, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Estrela vs Santa Clara prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Estrela 1 - 1 Santa Clara
Estrela vs Santa Clara Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -3300 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Joao Costa @ 210 Odds
- First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Santa Clara +0.5 @ -417 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -138 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Estrela vs Santa Clara?
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View OfferEstrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlld | 1.00 |
| Home | dwddl | 1.20 |
| Away | llwld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.00 | 1.38 | 0.62 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.51 | 1.93 |
Santa Clara Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlll | 0.60 |
| Home | ldlll | 0.67 |
| Away | dldl | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.33 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 1.23 | 1.01 |
Estrela vs Santa Clara Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Estrela (0%)
3 Matches
Santa Clara (33%)
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