Famalicao vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips | 23/02/2026

Famalicao vs Casa Pia Prediction and Betting Tips | 23 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

19 February 2026 • 10:13 UTC • 1 min read

Famalicao vs Casa Pia Prediction and Betting Tips 23 February 2026

With no new injury concerns and confidence boosted by a strong showing in a narrow 1–0 defeat to Sporting CP, Famalicao look well positioned for a response at home. As Casa Pia are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 2-1 home win. Famalicao's statistics at the Estadio Municipal are impressive: 75% home win rate, 3.00 goals scored on average, and 50% clean sheets. The side’s expected goals at home (1.86) highlight how consistently they create chances in front of their own fans.

Casa Pia, however, arrive weakened. First-team pillars Larrazabal and Cassiano are both suspended, stripping the visitors of width and goal threat. While Os Gansos showed spirit in their 3–2 victory over Arouca, their away output remains modest—just 0.75 goals scored per match, paired with 1.75 conceded. Their xGA away (1.61) suggests defensive issues that a strong home side like Famalicao can exploit.

Given aforementioned statistical data, Famalicao to Win is our main betting tip, alongside Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals as Casa Pia have been showing signs of improvement offensively.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Monday 23 February 2026 at 20:15.

What is our Famalicao vs Casa Pia prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Famalicao 2 - 1 Casa Pia

Famalicao vs Casa Pia Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 110 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 105 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Rudi Almeida @ 150 Odds
First Goalscorer: Rudi Almeida @ 450 Odds
Asian Handicap: Famalicao -0.5 @ -182 Odds
European Handicap: Casa Pia +2 @ -200 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
Draw No Bet: Famalicao to Win @ -550 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Famalicao to Win/Famalicao to Win @ 137 Odds
Clean Sheet: Famalicao - No @ -125 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Famalicao vs Casa Pia?

You can place your bets on Famalicao vs Casa Pia at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Famalicao Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwlwl	1.20
Home	wlww	2.25
Away	llwll	0.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	75%	17%
Average Goals Per Game	3.00	4.00	2.33
Scored	1.40	3.00	0.33
Conceded	1.60	1.00	2.00
BTTS	30%	50%	17%
Clean Sheets	30%	50%	17%
Failed to Score	40%	0%	67%
Expected Goals	1.25	1.86	0.85
Expected Goals Against	1.26	0.81	1.57

Casa Pia Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ldwdw	1.30
Home	lddww	1.50
Away	wlld	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	33%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	3.17	2.50
Scored	1.30	1.67	0.75
Conceded	1.60	1.50	1.75
BTTS	70%	83%	50%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	25%
Failed to Score	30%	17%	50%
Expected Goals	1.07	1.03	1.15
Expected Goals Against	1.57	1.55	1.61