Gil Vicente continue their sequence of draws, with five consecutive stalemates highlighting both their resilience and their lack of sharpness in the final third. As a result, our prediction points toward a 1-1 draw. The likely absence of key midfielder Facundo Caseres further disrupts Gil Vicente's creative rhythm, which has already delivered just 1.0 goal per home match. Still, Os Galos remain defensively reliable, conceding only 1.0 goal per game and posting 25% clean sheets at home, backed by solid underlying numbers with 1.74 expected goals at home.
Nacional head into Saturday's game after a wild 3-3 draw with Santa Clara, but their season continues to be inconsistent, especially away from home where they average just 0.5 points per match and have yet to win. Despite their shaky defending—zero clean sheets and 1.83 goals conceded per away match—they tend to score, producing 83% BTTS away and a respectable goal average of 1.17.
Historically, this fixture is competitive. Gil Vicente hold a slight edge with 8 wins in 17 meetings, but goals have been modest, with only 41% over 2.5 goals. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, with additional value on Draw and HT-Draw.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Gil Vicente vs Nacional prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Nacional
Gil Vicente vs Nacional Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Borges Parente Carlos Eduardo @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferGil Vicente Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddddd | 1.20 |
| Home | wldd | 1.25 |
| Away | wdddd | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.53 | 1.74 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.07 | 1.04 | 1.09 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdld | 0.70 |
| Home | llwd | 1.00 |
| Away | dlldl | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.75 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.08 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.80 | 2.35 | 1.44 |
Gil Vicente vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Gil Vicente (47%)
17 Matches
Nacional (35%)
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