Guimaraes will look to respond strongly after their narrow defeat to Braga when they face Casa Pia in Primeira Liga round five. The hosts managed just 0.47 xG in that 1-0 loss, but there are no fresh injury concerns and talented forward Oumar Camara could be handed a starting role. Guimaraes have been solid defensively at home recently, conceding only 0.50 goals per game across their last 10 home matches.
Casa Pia, meanwhile, have endured a nightmare start, losing all four league games without scoring a single goal. Dafe and Cassiano are both pushing for a place in the starting XI, while there are no new injury concerns. Casa Pia have scored just 0.50 goals per game across their last 10 matches and failed to find the net in 60% of them. The H2H record points towards another low-scoring encounter, with none of the previous nine meetings producing more than two goals and only one seeing BTTS.
As Casa Pia have lost all four league games this season and obviously struggle up front, Home Win should be considered, alongside Guimaraes to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals (None of the nine previous H2H meetings produced over 2.5 goals).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Guimaraes vs Casa Pia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 1 - 0 Casa Pia
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Vignon Ouotro @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Vignon Ouotro @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Casa Pia +1.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Casa Pia +2 @ -188 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -450 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Guimaraes to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes to Win/Guimaraes to Win @ 125 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Guimaraes - Yes @ -120 Odds
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View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwlllllwl | 1.00 |
| Home | wllw | 1.50 |
| Away | dwllll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 1.25 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.78 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.09 | 0.82 | 1.27 |
Casa Pia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwddwllll | 0.80 |
| Home | ldwll | 0.80 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.21 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.37 |
Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (22%)
9 Matches
Casa Pia (33%)
