Guimaraes vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips | 18/01/2026

Guimaraes vs Porto Prediction and Betting Tips | 18 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

14 January 2026 • 16:58 UTC • 1 min read

Guimaraes vs Porto Prediction and Betting Tips 18 January 2026

Guimaraes take on Porto in a Primeira Liga derby between two sides in strong form. However, we predict a 1-0 away win as the league leaders are flying high at the moment. The home team have been impressive lately, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.00 points per game overall. At home, they’ve shown solid defensive discipline, conceding just 1.17 goals per match, while scoring 1.50 goals on average. Guimaraes have also kept 33% clean sheets at home, making them a tricky opponent for any side. Tired legs, though, could prove to be a big problem for the hosts who defeated Braga 2-1 in the League Cup final in midweek.

Porto, on the other hand, look unstoppable at the moment, winning all of their last five games and sitting atop the Primeira Liga table. Despite the absence of midfielder Pablo Rosario due to suspension, The Dragons' attacking output remains potent, scoring 2.20 goals per game overall and 2.29 at home. Their defense is rock-solid, conceding only 0.60 goals per match overall and keeping 60% clean sheets. Away, Porto have not conceded a single goal in recent fixtures.

Considering Porto's strong current form and defensive record, we are tempted to bet on Away Win, alongside Under 2.5 goals and Porto to Win to Nil.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 18 January 2026 at 20:30.

What is our Guimaraes vs Porto prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 0 - 1 Porto

Guimaraes vs Porto Betting Tips

Correct Score: 0-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
Anytime Goalscorer: Luuk de Jong @ 110 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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Guimaraes Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ldwww	2.00
Home	dllww	1.67
Away	wwdw	2.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	50%	75%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	2.67	2.00
Scored	1.50	1.50	1.50
Conceded	0.90	1.17	0.50
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
Clean Sheets	40%	33%	50%
Failed to Score	30%	33%	25%
Expected Goals	1.37	1.44	1.27
Expected Goals Against	1.27	1.23	1.32

Porto Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwww	2.70
Home	lwwww	2.57
Away	www	3.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	90%	86%	100%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	3.14	2.00
Scored	2.20	2.29	2.00
Conceded	0.60	0.86	0.00
BTTS	40%	57%	0%
Clean Sheets	60%	43%	100%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.68	1.75	1.51
Expected Goals Against	0.89	0.83	1.04