Vitoria Guimaraes will be looking to make amends for a heavy 3–0 defeat to Benfica when they face Tondela on Friday evening. As Tondela failed to impress in a goalless draw with AFS, we predict a 1-0 home win. Despite poor overall form, Luis Pinto's men have been more competitive at home, picking up 1.40 points per game and conceding just 1.00 goal on average. Their underlying numbers (1.71 xG at home) suggest they create enough chances, even if results haven’t followed consistently.
Tondela, on the other hand, head into the match after a disappointing 0–0 draw with bottom-side AFS and could be without Helder Tavares. Their form reflects a lack of cutting edge, scoring just 0.70 goals per game and failing to score in 60% of matches. While they are slightly more competitive away, their 1.00 xG and limited attacking output remain concerns.
Head-to-head stats favor Guimarães, who have won 53% of the last 17 meetings. As Guimaraes are stronger at home and facing a low-scoring opponent, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Guimaraes to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:00.
What is our Guimaraes vs Tondela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Guimaraes 1 - 0 Tondela
Guimaraes vs Tondela Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 200 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ejike Opara @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ejike Opara @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Guimaraes -0.5 @ -118 Odds
- European Handicap: Tondela +2 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Guimaraes to Win @ -300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Guimaraes to Win/Guimaraes to Win @ 200 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Guimaraes - Yes @ 125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Guimaraes vs Tondela?
You can place your bets on Guimaraes vs Tondela at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferGuimaraes Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwlwldlll | 0.70 |
| Home | lwwdl | 1.40 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.71 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 1.19 | 1.27 |
Tondela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldddwdld | 0.80 |
| Home | ldddld | 0.67 |
| Away | lldw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.33 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.00 | 1.12 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.52 | 1.29 |
Guimaraes vs Tondela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Guimaraes (53%)
17 Matches
Tondela (29%)
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