Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction & Betting Tips | 02/05/2026

Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction and Betting Tips | 2 May 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

29 April 2026 • 15:13 UTC • 1 min read

Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction and Betting Tips 2 May 2026

Moreirense return home after a heavy 4-1 defeat to Benfica, with little left to play for as they sit mid-table. As both Moreirense and Estrela struggle up front, we predict a 1-1 draw. Os Verdes e Brancos average just 0.90 points per game over their last 10 matches, winning only 20%. At home, form is poor with 0.80 PPG, scoring just 0.40 goals per game while conceding 1.20. Overall, they score 0.70 and concede 1.60 per match, with 40% failing to score and a low xG of 0.86 highlighting attacking struggles.

Estrela da Amadora arrive under pressure, sitting just two points above the relegation zone and on a four-game losing run. Os Tricolores average 0.50 points per game over their last 10 with no away wins and just 0.20 PPG on the road. Estrela score 0.90 goals per game but only 0.40 away, while 60% of away matches see them fail to score. Defensively they concede 1.40 per match, with xGA at 1.48, showing consistent vulnerability.

Given both sides poor attacking output, Under 2.5 goals seems like a sure bet, alongside Half-Time Draw, and Draw.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 15:30.

What is our Moreirense vs Estrela prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Moreirense 1 - 1 Estrela

Moreirense vs Estrela Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 450 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -106 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1600 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Rodrigo Pinho @ 200 Odds
First Goalscorer: Rodrigo Pinho @ 550 Odds
Asian Handicap: Moreirense +0.5 @ -174 Odds
European Handicap: Moreirense +1 @ -175 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -175 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 350 Odds
Clean Sheet: Estrela Amadora - No @ -200 Odds

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Moreirense Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wlddllldwl	0.90
Home	ldllw	0.80
Away	wdldl	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.30	1.60	3.00
Scored	0.70	0.40	1.00
Conceded	1.60	1.20	2.00
BTTS	50%	20%	80%
Clean Sheets	10%	20%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	60%	20%
Expected Goals	0.86	0.94	0.78
Expected Goals Against	1.63	1.45	1.82

Estrela Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llddlwllll	0.50
Home	ldwll	0.80
Away	ldlll	0.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	20%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.30	2.80	1.80
Scored	0.90	1.40	0.40
Conceded	1.40	1.40	1.40
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
Clean Sheets	20%	20%	20%
Failed to Score	50%	40%	60%
Expected Goals	1.31	1.39	1.23
Expected Goals Against	1.48	1.36	1.60