Moreirense welcome Nacional looking to bounce back after a 1-1 draw with Casa Pia. Given Nacional's struggles on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. The hosts have been relatively solid this season, averaging 1.40 points per game overall and 1.50 points per game at home, where they have a 50% win rate. However, they could be without important forward Yan Maranhao, who remains doubtful after missing the last match through injury. Despite their decent results, Moreirense have not been particularly prolific in front of goal, scoring just 0.90 goals per match and generating 1.01 expected goals on average.
Nacional travel to this match under pressure as they sit in the relegation zone following a 2-1 defeat to Braga. Their form has been worrying, with only 0.60 points per game overall and just 0.20 points per game away from home, where they are yet to record a win. Defensively, the visitors have struggled badly on the road, conceding 2.20 goals per away match, while injuries to Fernandes, Soares, and Ulisses further weaken the squad.
As Nacional have 0% away wins and average only 0.20 points on the road, our prediction firmly points toward Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Moreirense Over 1.5.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Moreirense vs Nacional prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Moreirense 2 - 1 Nacional
Moreirense vs Nacional Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 115 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Cedric Teguia @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Cedric Teguia @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Moreirense 0 @ -149 Odds
- European Handicap: Moreirense +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Moreirense to Win @ -150 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Moreirense to Win/Moreirense to Win @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Moreirense - No @ -250 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Moreirense vs Nacional?
You can place your bets on Moreirense vs Nacional at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMoreirense Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwlwllwld | 1.40 |
| Home | wwll | 1.50 |
| Away | dwllwd | 1.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| BTTS | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.01 | 0.55 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.28 | 1.32 |
Nacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldlwldlll | 0.60 |
| Home | dwdll | 1.00 |
| Away | dllll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.49 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.61 | 1.57 |
Moreirense vs Nacional Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Moreirense (67%)
18 Matches
Nacional (17%)
Ukraine
Sweden
Poland
Albania
Italy
Northern Ireland
Brazil
France
Bolivia
Suriname
Colombia
Croatia
