What is our Nacional vs Alverca prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Nacional 1 - 2 Alverca
Nacional vs Alverca Preview
Nacional return home looking to recover from a 2-0 defeat to Benfica, but their season remains under pressure as they try to escape the danger zone. As Nacional do not seem to be at their sharpest, we predict a 2-1 away wain. Nacional's form has been poor overall (0.50 points per game), with just one win in their last 10 matches and an attack that continues to struggle, averaging only 0.50 goals per game and failing to score in 60% of fixtures. Suspensions for Vallier and Leo Santos further weaken an already fragile squad.
Alverca, on the other hand, are in steadier shape after a 3-1 win over Casa Pia, sitting comfortably in mid-table with 1.20 points per game. The visitors are far more consistent in front of goal than their hosts, scoring 1.30 per match and remaining unbeaten in several recent outings. Notably, they have scored in 90% of their matches and are especially dangerous away from home, where they average 1.40 goals per game and have yet to lose in several recent trips.
Given Alverca's better form, stronger attack, and Nacional’s poor scoring record, we are tempted to bet on Away Win. Additionally, Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals markets should be considered as Alverca matches average 2.7 goals.
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Saturday, 18 April 2026 at 15:30.
- Competition
- Portugal Primeira Liga
- Kick-off
- Sat 18 Apr, 15:30UK time
Nacional vs Alverca Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreNacional 1-2 Alverca | 1000 | |
| Double ChanceX2 | -163 | |
| Draw No BetAlverca | 120 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeAlverca / Alverca | 400 | |
| Asian HandicapAlverca +0.5 | -154 | |
| European HandicapAlverca +1 | -163 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -150 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -118 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -275 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -800 | |
| Clean SheetNacional: No | -300 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerJesus Ramirez | 150 | |
| First GoalscorerJesus Ramirez | 500 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 160 |
Where Can You Place Bets on Nacional vs Alverca?
You can place your bets on Nacional vs Alverca at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferNacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldllldllwl | 0.50 |
| Home | dlllw | 0.80 |
| Away | lldll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.32 | 1.64 |
Alverca Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldddddlww | 1.20 |
| Home | dddlw | 1.20 |
| Away | ldddw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.70 | 1.37 | 2.03 |
Nacional vs Alverca Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Nacional (0%)
1 Matches
Alverca (100%)





