Nacional and Estrela face each other in the Primeira Liga round 4, with the hosts hoping to find some consistency after an up-and-down start to the season. Nacional suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Guimaraes last time out, managing only seven goal attempts and 0.43 xG. Their home form offers plenty of encouragement, though, with the Islanders winning 60% of their last 10 matches on home soil and keeping clean sheets in 80% of them. Defender Ulisses remains in the recovery room but should be the only absentee.
Estrela, meanwhile, are aiming to remain undefeated after consecutive draws with Sporting CP and Alverca. The visitors have failed to win any of their last five away games, but they have shown resilience by sharing the spoils in their opening two league fixtures. Estrela have also seen 60% of their last five away matches end with both teams scoring. There are no fresh injury worries for the visitors, who will be hoping to frustrate Nacional once again.
Given Nacional's strong home record and defensive solidity, punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (Just one of the last eight H2H meetings produced more than two goals).
This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:30.
What is our Nacional vs Estrela prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Nacional 1 - 0 Estrela
Nacional vs Estrela Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 700 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Allen Obando @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Allen Obando @ 550 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Nacional 0 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Nacional +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Nacional to Win @ -163 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Nacional to Win/Nacional to Win @ 275 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Nacional - Yes @ 200 Odds
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View OfferNacional Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwllwddwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | lwldl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.90 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.59 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.71 | 1.31 | 2.03 |
Estrela Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllllldddd | 0.70 |
| Home | wlldd | 1.00 |
| Away | llldd | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.18 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.39 | 1.48 |
Nacional vs Estrela Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Nacional (38%)
8 Matches
Estrela (38%)
Nacional vs Estrela Past Results
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