Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction & Betting Tips | 25/01/2026

Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction and Betting Tips | 25 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

22 January 2026 • 09:05 UTC • 1 min read

Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction and Betting Tips 25 January 2026

Nacional aim recover from a 2–1 loss to Gil Vicente, but with Rio Ave showing signs of improvement on the road, we predict a 1-1 draw. Nacional's overall form is concerning, with just 0.60 points per game and only 10% wins this season. Defensively they have issues, conceding 1.90 goals per match, while failing to keep a single clean sheet. Despite this, their games are usually lively, averaging 3.30 goals per match, and BTTS hitting 80% overall. Their home xGA (2.35) highlights how vulnerable they can be at Estadio da Madeira. Fernandes, Soares, and Ulisses all remain doubtful after missing the last league match with injuries.

Rio Ave head into the match without fresh injury concerns following a 2–0 defeat to Benfica. Their away record is notably stronger than their home figures, earning 1.60 PPG, scoring 1.40 goals per away match, and seeing BTTS at 80% on their travels. Still, defensive instability remains an issue, as Os Rioavistas also have 0 clean sheets all season and concede 1.80 goals per match. Their expected goals numbers are modest (0.94 xG) but they compensate with efficiency in transition.

Considering 80% BTTS for both sides in away/home splits, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score, with additional value on Half-Time Draw and Draw.

This Portugal Primeira Liga match will be played on Sunday 25 January 2026 at 15:30.

What is our Nacional vs Rio Ave prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Nacional 1 - 0 Rio Ave

Nacional vs Rio Ave Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-0
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
Anytime Goalscorer: Jesus Ramirez @ 137 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds

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Nacional Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdldl	0.60
Home	llwd	1.00
Away	lldll	0.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	25%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	3.30	3.50	3.17
Scored	1.40	1.75	1.17
Conceded	1.90	1.75	2.00
BTTS	80%	75%	83%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	20%	25%	17%
Expected Goals	1.34	1.08	1.51
Expected Goals Against	1.83	2.35	1.48

Rio Ave Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ldlwl	1.20
Home	ldlwl	0.80
Away	wdwdl	1.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	20%	40%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	2.60	3.20
Scored	1.10	0.80	1.40
Conceded	1.80	1.80	1.80
BTTS	60%	40%	80%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	40%	60%	20%
Expected Goals	0.94	0.87	1.00
Expected Goals Against	1.89	1.88	1.91