Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Alverca

Alverca

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

22 December 2025

18:45

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Porto

Porto

Alverca are eager to make amends for a 1-0 loss to Arouca, but given their negative record against Porto at FC Alverca Sports Complex, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Alverca are tough to beat at home, with the team losing only one of their last five home fixtures. However, their expected goals against of 1.52 is not giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of Por... Read More...

This match will be played on 22 December 2025 at 18:45

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

21 December 2025

20:30

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Arouca

Arouca

Santa Clara look to rebound after a narrow 1-0 defeat at Braga and given their fine home record, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 win. Os Acorianos have been strong at Estádio de Sao Miguel this season, winning 75% of their home games and scoring an average of 1.75 goals per match. Defensively, Santa Clara have conceded just 0.50 goals per home fixture and kept clean sheet... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 December 2025 at 20:30

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

21 December 2025

18:00

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Tondela look to improve on a poor home record, having failed to win in four of their last five matches at Estadio Joao Cardoso., but with Casa Pia aiming to get back on course following a shocking Portugal Cup loss, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. Os Auriverdes have no fresh injury concerns and have struggled to score, averaging just 0.00 goals per home game while co... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 December 2025 at 18:00

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

21 December 2025

15:30

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Nacional

Nacional

AFS hope to recover from a heavy 6-0 defeat at Sporting, but with Nacional proving their worth in the last Primeira Liga game, we are tempted to bet on 1-1 draw. With forward Guilherme Neiva back from a minor injury and midfielder Jaume Grau returning from suspension, we are positive that the hosts will grab something from Sunday's clash. AFS have struggled overall this seas... Read More...

This match will be played on 21 December 2025 at 15:30

Estrela

Estrela

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

20 December 2025

20:30

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Moreirense

Moreirense

Moreirense aim to recover from a heavy 4-0 loss to Benfica, but with Estrela being a real force to be reckoned with at home, 2-1 is our predicted outcome for Saturday's clash. Estrela aim to recover from a 3-1 defeat to Porto but will be without defender Sidny Cabral, who could leave a gap in the backline. The home side have been inconsistent this season, winning 50% of thei... Read More...

This match will be played on 20 December 2025 at 20:30

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

20 December 2025

18:00

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Gil Vicente take on Rio Ave looking to build on solid home form and given Os Rioavistas' shaky defence, our prediction points toward a 2-0 home win. The hosts will be without defenders Jonathan Buatu and Ghislain Konan (both away on international duty), but they are capable of filling the gap. Os Galoes boast a 75% home win rate and have kept clean sheets in three of their l... Read More...

This match will be played on 20 December 2025 at 18:00

Estoril

Estoril

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

19 December 2025

20:15

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Braga

Braga

Estoril aim to put an end to their four-game winless run in all competitions, but given Braga's fine form on the road, we predict a 2-1 away win. Os Canarinhos have struggled to find consistency at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, winning just 20% of their home games this season, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match, and keeping no clean sheets in five home outings... Read More...

This match will be played on 19 December 2025 at 20:15

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

15 December 2025

20:45

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Estrela

Estrela

Porto host Estrela in a Primeira Liga round 14 clash where the Portuguese giants look strong on paper despite injury absences. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a routine 2-0 home win. Luuk de Jong and Nehuen Perez are sidelined, but coach Francesco Farioli still has the core of his squad available and the Dragons have been excellent this season, averaging 2.20 points p... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 December 2025 at 20:45

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

15 December 2025

18:45

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Braga look well-placed to extend their excellent run as they host Santa Clara and we predict that they will do so with a routine 3-1 win. The Reds have collected 2.20 points per game overall and an impressive 2.50 PPG at home, winning 83% of their matches on home soil. Their attack is firing at a high level, averaging 3.33 goals per home match and scoring in every league out... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 December 2025 at 18:45

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
6 March 2026 • 20:03 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
AlvercaAlvercaAFSAFS07/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
MoreirenseMoreirenseNacionalNacional07/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
BragaBragaSportingSporting07/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
EstorilEstorilCasa PiaCasa Pia07/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EstrelaEstrelaGil VicenteGil Vicente08/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
BenficaBenficaPortoPorto08/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Santa ClaraSanta ClaraGuimaraesGuimaraes08/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
TondelaTondelaRio AveRio Ave09/03/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
GuimaraesGuimaraesFamalicaoFamalicao14/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Gil VicenteGil VicenteAlvercaAlverca14/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaBenficaBenfica14/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 0-2
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
AFSAFSSanta ClaraSanta Clara15/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
NacionalNacionalEstorilEstoril15/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Rio AveRio AveEstrelaEstrela15/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
PortoPortoMoreirenseMoreirense15/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.52
Away Teams 1.23
Total (Combined) 2.74
32.8 min/Goal (595 Goals in 217 matches)
59% Clean Sheets (129 times out of 217 matches)
47% Both Teams Scored (101 times out of 217 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 42%
Draw 25%
Away Win 33%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 23%
Under 2.5 44%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.17
Shots / Match (Home) 12.66
Shots / Match (Away) 11.51
Fouls Per Match 27.85
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.91
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.94
Offsides Per Match 3.24
Players Participated 613

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 24 21 2 1 47 8 +39 65 LDWWW
2 Sporting CP 24 19 4 1 62 12 +50 61 WDWWW
3 Benfica 24 17 7 0 51 14 +37 58 DWWWW
4 Sporting Braga 24 13 6 5 50 23 +27 45 WWLWW
5 Gil Vicente 24 11 7 6 35 23 +12 40 WWWLL
6 Famalicão 25 11 6 8 30 21 +9 39 WLWDW
7 Moreirense FC 24 10 4 10 30 34 -4 34 LLWLD
8 GD Estoril Praia 24 9 6 9 46 42 +4 33 WDLWL
9 Vitória Guimarães 24 9 5 10 28 35 -7 32 WLWLD
10 Alverca 24 7 6 11 24 39 -15 27 DLDDD
11 FC Arouca 25 7 5 13 32 53 -21 26 WLWLL
12 Estrela Amadora 24 5 9 10 26 41 -15 24 DWLLD
13 Casa Pia 24 5 8 11 26 44 -18 23 WDWLD
14 CD Nacional 24 5 6 13 28 36 -8 21 LDLLL
15 Rio Ave FC 24 4 9 11 23 44 -21 21 LLLLD
16 Santa Clara 24 4 7 13 20 31 -11 19 LLLDD
17 CD Tondela 24 4 7 13 19 38 -19 19 DDDWD
18 AVS 24 1 6 17 18 57 -39 9 LLWLD

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
27/02/2026, 18:45 Porto 3 - 1 FC Arouca
27/02/2026, 20:45 Sporting CP 3 - 0 GD Estoril Praia
28/02/2026, 15:30 AVS 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
28/02/2026, 18:00 CD Nacional 1 - 2 Sporting Braga
28/02/2026, 20:30 Vitória Guimarães 1 - 1 Alverca
01/03/2026, 15:30 CD Tondela 2 - 2 Santa Clara
01/03/2026, 18:00 Casa Pia 1 - 1 Moreirense FC
01/03/2026, 20:30 Rio Ave FC 0 - 0 Famalicão
02/03/2026, 20:15 Gil Vicente 1 - 2 Benfica

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
06/03/2026, 20:15 Famalicão 1 - 0 FC Arouca
07/03/2026, 15:30 Alverca - AVS
07/03/2026, 15:30 Moreirense FC - CD Nacional
07/03/2026, 18:00 Sporting Braga - Sporting CP
07/03/2026, 20:30 GD Estoril Praia - Casa Pia
08/03/2026, 15:30 Estrela Amadora - Gil Vicente
08/03/2026, 18:00 Benfica - Porto
08/03/2026, 20:30 Santa Clara - Vitória Guimarães
09/03/2026, 20:15 CD Tondela - Rio Ave FC

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Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

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  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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