Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

16 February 2026

20:15

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Moreirense

Moreirense

Rio Ave return home looking to halt a worrying slide after their 3-0 defeat to Braga, but they at least welcome back defender Francisco Petrasso from suspension. Anyhow, we predict a 1-1 draw as the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment. Sotiris Silaidopoulos' side continue to struggle at both ends of the pitch: Os Rioavistas have failed to score in 60% of their ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 February 2026 at 20:15

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

15 February 2026

20:30

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Famalicao

Famalicao

Sporting CP return to Alvalade after rescuing a late point in the derby with Porto, thanks to Luis Suarez’s stoppage-time penalty. As the Lions have turned their stadium into a real fortress, we predict that they will defeat Famalicao 2-1. Luis Suarez's suspension is a major setback, removing Sporting’s most reliable finisher. Even so, the reigning champions remain stron... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 February 2026 at 20:30

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

15 February 2026

18:00

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Estoril

Estoril

AFS aim to bounce back from a 3-1 loss to Famalicao, but given their poor defensive numbers at home, we predict a 2-1 win over Estoril. Defender Paulo Vitor limped off injured at the weeken, with Ponck likely to deputise. Therefore their already fragile defence is expected to become even more vulnerable. AFS have collected just 0.50 points per game overall, with a worrying d... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 February 2026 at 18:00

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

15 February 2026

15:30

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Porto

Porto

Nacional aim to claim a major scalp in the Primeira Liga round 22, but given their negative H2H record against league leaders Porto, we predict a 2-0 away win. The hosts head into this clash short-handed, with defender Leo Santos suspended and Jose Gomes doubtful after picking up a knock in the goalless draw with Casa Pia. That leaves their back line exposed at a time when t... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 February 2026 at 15:30

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

14 February 2026

20:30

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Braga

Braga

Gil Vicente enter this clash on a strong run, having defeated Moreirense 2–1 last weekend, but given their negative H2H record against Braga, we are tempted to bet on the in-form visitors (1-2). With a full squad available, Cesar Peixoto is unlikely to alter a winning formula. At home, Gil Vicente have been dependable, averaging 1.60 points per game and scoring 2.00 goals ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 February 2026 at 20:30

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

14 February 2026

18:00

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Estrela

Estrela

Vitoria Guimaraes look to get back on course after a mixed run, and their 1.50 points per game at home suggests they remain difficult to beat at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Given Estrela's shaky defence, we predict a 2-0 home win. Defender Maga is suspended, though he is not a regular starter, meaning the core of the team remains intact. Guimaraes score 1.00 goal per home ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 February 2026 at 18:00

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

14 February 2026

15:30

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Arouca

Arouca

Casa Pia return home after a solid but frustrating 0–0 draw with Nacional, yet their defensive worries continue to grow. Anyhow, we are tempted to place our bets on draw as the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment. Both Fonte and Kiki remain injured, while key defender Duplexe Tchamba is a major doubt, leaving the hosts short of options at the back. Casa Pia a... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 February 2026 at 15:30

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

13 February 2026

20:45

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Alverca

Alverca

Tondela continue their search for consistency as they return home following a lively 2–2 draw with Estoril. Given Alverca's attacking potential on the road, yet another high-scoring draw (2-2) is on the cards. Important defender Emmanuel Maviram remains doubtful and with Tondela conceding 1.50 goals per match overall and posting an xGA of 1.71 at home, his absence could be... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 February 2026 at 20:45

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Prediction:
0-3

Match Time & Date:

13 February 2026

18:30

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Benfica

Benfica

Benfica aim to maintain their title push as they travel to face struggling Santa Clara, who remain winless in five and are coming off a narrow 1–0 defeat to Estrela. Given Santa Clara's poor form, our prediction points toward a 3-0 away win. The hosts have no fresh injury concerns, but their numbers are worrying: only 0.50 points per game overall, a 10% win rate, and a poo... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 February 2026 at 18:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
10 May 2026 • 21:25 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
AroucaAroucaTondelaTondela17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
BragaBragaEstrelaEstrela17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Casa PiaCasa PiaRio AveRio Ave17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
EstorilEstorilBenficaBenfica17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
PortoPortoSanta ClaraSanta Clara17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
MoreirenseMoreirenseAFSAFS17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
NacionalNacionalGuimaraesGuimaraes17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
SportingSportingGil VicenteGil Vicente17/05/2026, 17:00
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.49
Away Teams 1.2
Total (Combined) 2.69
33.4 min/Goal (800 Goals in 297 matches)
57% Clean Sheets (173 times out of 297 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (143 times out of 297 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.14
Shots / Match (Home) 12.71
Shots / Match (Away) 11.44
Fouls Per Match 27.56
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.86
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.69
Offsides Per Match 3.12
Players Participated 640

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 33 27 4 2 65 18 +47 85 WWWWL
2 Sporting CP 33 24 7 2 86 24 +62 79 LDDWW
3 Benfica 33 22 11 0 71 24 +47 77 WWWDD
4 Sporting Braga 33 16 10 7 62 34 +28 58 DWLDD
5 Famalicão 33 14 11 8 41 29 +12 53 DDWDD
6 Gil Vicente 33 13 11 9 47 35 +12 50 DLWDL
7 Vitória Guimarães 33 12 6 15 39 49 -10 42 DWWLL
8 Moreirense FC 33 12 6 15 37 49 -12 42 DWLWL
9 GD Estoril Praia 33 10 9 14 53 54 -1 39 LLLDD
10 Alverca 33 10 9 14 35 51 -16 39 WLWLD
11 FC Arouca 33 11 6 16 44 63 -19 39 LWLDW
12 Santa Clara 33 9 9 15 32 40 -8 36 LDWDW
13 Rio Ave FC 33 8 11 14 34 56 -22 35 WDLDL
14 CD Nacional 33 8 7 18 35 45 -10 31 LWWLL
15 Estrela Amadora 33 6 11 16 36 54 -18 29 LLLLD
16 Casa Pia 33 6 11 16 30 56 -26 29 DLLLW
17 CD Tondela 33 6 10 17 26 52 -26 28 LLDWW
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 27 67 -40 20 DDDWW

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
10/05/2026, 17:00 AVS 3 - 1 Porto
10/05/2026, 19:30 Alverca 1 - 1 GD Estoril Praia
11/05/2026, 19:15 Gil Vicente 1 - 3 FC Arouca
11/05/2026, 19:15 Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting Braga
11/05/2026, 19:15 Vitória Guimarães 0 - 1 Casa Pia
11/05/2026, 19:15 Rio Ave FC 1 - 4 Sporting CP
11/05/2026, 19:15 Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 Famalicão
11/05/2026, 19:15 CD Tondela 2 - 0 Moreirense FC
11/05/2026, 19:15 Santa Clara 2 - 0 CD Nacional

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
17/05/2026, 00:00 GD Estoril Praia - Benfica
17/05/2026, 00:00 Moreirense FC - AVS
17/05/2026, 00:00 FC Arouca - CD Tondela
17/05/2026, 00:00 Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
17/05/2026, 00:00 Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
17/05/2026, 00:00 CD Nacional - Vitória Guimarães
17/05/2026, 00:00 Porto - Santa Clara
17/05/2026, 00:00 Casa Pia - Rio Ave FC
17/05/2026, 00:00 Famalicão - Alverca

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts follow Italy’s premier competition with detailed insights into key fixtures and player form.
  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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