Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

16 February 2026

20:15

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Moreirense

Moreirense

Rio Ave return home looking to halt a worrying slide after their 3-0 defeat to Braga, but they at least welcome back defender Francisco Petrasso from suspension. Anyhow, we predict a 1-1 draw as the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment. Sotiris Silaidopoulos' side continue to struggle at both ends of the pitch: Os Rioavistas have failed to score in 60% of their ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 February 2026 at 20:15

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

15 February 2026

20:30

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Famalicao

Famalicao

Sporting CP return to Alvalade after rescuing a late point in the derby with Porto, thanks to Luis Suarez’s stoppage-time penalty. As the Lions have turned their stadium into a real fortress, we predict that they will defeat Famalicao 2-1. Luis Suarez's suspension is a major setback, removing Sporting’s most reliable finisher. Even so, the reigning champions remain stron ... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 February 2026 at 20:30

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

15 February 2026

18:00

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Estoril

Estoril

AFS aim to bounce back from a 3-1 loss to Famalicao, but given their poor defensive numbers at home, we predict a 2-1 win over Estoril. Defender Paulo Vitor limped off injured at the weeken, with Ponck likely to deputise. Therefore their already fragile defence is expected to become even more vulnerable. AFS have collected just 0.50 points per game overall, with a worrying d ... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 February 2026 at 18:00

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

15 February 2026

15:30

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Porto

Porto

Nacional aim to claim a major scalp in the Primeira Liga round 22, but given their negative H2H record against league leaders Porto, we predict a 2-0 away win. The hosts head into this clash short-handed, with defender Leo Santos suspended and Jose Gomes doubtful after picking up a knock in the goalless draw with Casa Pia. That leaves their back line exposed at a time when t ... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 February 2026 at 15:30

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

14 February 2026

20:30

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Braga

Braga

Gil Vicente enter this clash on a strong run, having defeated Moreirense 2–1 last weekend, but given their negative H2H record against Braga, we are tempted to bet on the in-form visitors (1-2). With a full squad available, Cesar Peixoto is unlikely to alter a winning formula. At home, Gil Vicente have been dependable, averaging 1.60 points per game and scoring 2.00 goals ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 February 2026 at 20:30

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

14 February 2026

18:00

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Estrela

Estrela

Vitoria Guimaraes look to get back on course after a mixed run, and their 1.50 points per game at home suggests they remain difficult to beat at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Given Estrela's shaky defence, we predict a 2-0 home win. Defender Maga is suspended, though he is not a regular starter, meaning the core of the team remains intact. Guimaraes score 1.00 goal per home ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 February 2026 at 18:00

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

14 February 2026

15:30

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Arouca

Arouca

Casa Pia return home after a solid but frustrating 0–0 draw with Nacional, yet their defensive worries continue to grow. Anyhow, we are tempted to place our bets on draw as the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment. Both Fonte and Kiki remain injured, while key defender Duplexe Tchamba is a major doubt, leaving the hosts short of options at the back. Casa Pia a ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 February 2026 at 15:30

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

13 February 2026

20:45

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Alverca

Alverca

Tondela continue their search for consistency as they return home following a lively 2–2 draw with Estoril. Given Alverca's attacking potential on the road, yet another high-scoring draw (2-2) is on the cards. Important defender Emmanuel Maviram remains doubtful and with Tondela conceding 1.50 goals per match overall and posting an xGA of 1.71 at home, his absence could be ... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 February 2026 at 20:45

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Prediction:
0-3

Match Time & Date:

13 February 2026

18:30

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Benfica

Benfica

Benfica aim to maintain their title push as they travel to face struggling Santa Clara, who remain winless in five and are coming off a narrow 1–0 defeat to Estrela. Given Santa Clara's poor form, our prediction points toward a 3-0 away win. The hosts have no fresh injury concerns, but their numbers are worrying: only 0.50 points per game overall, a 10% win rate, and a poo ... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 February 2026 at 18:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
14 May 2026 • 08:55 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
BragaBragaEstrelaEstrela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaTondelaTondela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
SportingSportingGil VicenteGil Vicente16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EstorilEstorilBenficaBenfica16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.5
Away Teams 1.19
Total (Combined) 2.68
33.5 min/Goal (821 Goals in 306 matches)
57% Clean Sheets (179 times out of 306 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (147 times out of 306 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 10%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 7%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 90%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.14
Shots / Match (Home) 12.74
Shots / Match (Away) 11.4
Fouls Per Match 27.44
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.82
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.63
Offsides Per Match 3.14
Players Participated 644

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66 18 +48 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89 24 +65 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74 25 +49 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64 36 +28 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42 29 +13 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47 38 +9 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense FC 34 12 7 15 37 49 -12 43 WLWLD
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39 51 -12 42 WWLLL
9 FC Arouca 34 12 6 16 47 64 -17 42 WLDWW
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 10 9 15 54 57 -3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35 52 -17 39 LWLDL
12 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32 41 -9 36 DWDWL
13 Rio Ave FC 34 8 12 14 35 57 -22 36 DLDLD
14 CD Nacional 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38 56 -18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31 57 -26 30 LLLWD
17 CD Tondela 34 6 10 18 27 55 -28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27 67 -40 21 DDWWD

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
16/05/2026, 14:30 Moreirense FC - AVS
16/05/2026, 14:30 Porto - Santa Clara
16/05/2026, 17:00 FC Arouca - CD Tondela
16/05/2026, 17:00 Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
16/05/2026, 17:00 CD Nacional - Vitória Guimarães
16/05/2026, 17:00 Casa Pia - Rio Ave FC
16/05/2026, 19:30 GD Estoril Praia - Benfica
16/05/2026, 19:30 Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
16/05/2026, 19:30 Famalicão - Alverca

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

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  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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