Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Arouca

Arouca

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

1 December 2025

20:15

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Braga

Braga

Arouca will try to claim a major scalp in the closing match of Primeira Liga round 12, but given their four-game losing run, our prediction points toward a 2-1 away win. Los Lobos do not seem to be at their sharpest, conceding 3.25 goals per game in the last 4 outings in all competitions. Given their shaky defence and poor form, home win should not be considered. Both Mateo ... Read More...

This match will be played on 1 December 2025 at 20:15

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

30 November 2025

20:30

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Estoril

Estoril

Following a 3-0 Europa League win over Nice, we predict that Porto will give fans yet another reason to celebrate by beating Estoril 3-1 at home. The Dragons are high on spirits, dominating both at home and across the season with 80% home wins and just 0.40 goals conceded per game at the Dragao. Their attack consistently delivers close to two goals per match, and with the sq... Read More...

This match will be played on 30 November 2025 at 20:30

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

30 November 2025

18:00

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Estrela

Estrela

Sporting are brimming with confidence following the Champions League win over Club Brugge and we predict that they will give fans yet another reason to celebrate with a 3-0 victory over Estrela. The Lions continue to display title-contending form, with an outstanding home record and an attack producing 2.67 goals per game in Lisbon. Their defensive numbers at home (just 0.50... Read More...

This match will be played on 30 November 2025 at 18:00

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

30 November 2025

15:30

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Rio Ave head this clash trying to steady their inconsistent form and we predict that they will do so with a hard-fought 1-0 win over Santa Clara The hosts’ main concern remains defensive fragility—1.80 goals conceded per match overall and an even worse 2.25 at home—but they still carry enough attacking threat to stay competitive, scoring in 70% of their games. Omar Ric... Read More...

This match will be played on 30 November 2025 at 15:30

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

29 November 2025

20:30

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Tondela

Tondela

With Gil Vicente brimming with confidence following a fine run in Primeira Liga, we predict that they will record a hard-fought 1-0 win over Tondela. With four wins from four and a perfect defensive record — 0 goals conceded at home — they look incredibly solid at both ends of the pitch. Their attack has also been reliable, averaging 1.75 goals scored in home matches, wh... Read More...

This match will be played on 29 November 2025 at 20:30

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

29 November 2025

18:00

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Benfica

Benfica

Nacional will look to claim a major scalp when they face Benfica on Matchday 12, but with the Eagles brimming with confidence following the Champions League win over Ajax, our prediction leans toward a 2-0 away triumph. Os Alvinegros are on a three-game winless run in Primeira Liga, and with the team winning only 15% of their 20 meetings with Benfica, home win should not be ... Read More...

This match will be played on 29 November 2025 at 18:00

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

29 November 2025

15:30

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Famalicao

Famalicao

As Moreirense return home aiming to steady the ship after a poor run of form, we predict that they will play out a 1-1 draw with Famalicao on Matchday 12. With 2.25 points per game at home and a strong 75% win rate, they are far more dangerous in front of home fans. Their attack also improves significantly on home soil, averaging 2.00 goals scored, and they have failed to sc... Read More...

This match will be played on 29 November 2025 at 15:30

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

29 November 2025

15:30

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Alverca

Alverca

Casa Pia will look to build on a 4-0 Taca de Portugal win Alpendorada, but their home form remains a major concern. Therefore, we predict that they will play out a 2-2 draw with Alverca on Friday evening. Casa Pia concede too easily at home (2.50 per match), though their attack generally produces chances. Casa Pia’s away numbers are far stronger, suggesting inconsistency r... Read More...

This match will be played on 29 November 2025 at 15:30

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

28 November 2025

20:15

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AFS

AFS

Guimaraes host AFS in a matchup where the home side clearly has the upper hand based on form and we predict that they will record a 2-0 win over Jose Mota's troops. Os Conquistadores have been solid recently, winning three of their last five matches and averaging 2.80 goals per home game while conceding just 1.20, showing a balanced approach between attack and defense. Their... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 November 2025 at 20:15

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
26 February 2026 • 09:37 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
TondelaTondelaSanta ClaraSanta Clara01/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Casa PiaCasa PiaMoreirenseMoreirense01/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Rio AveRio AveFamalicaoFamalicao01/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Gil VicenteGil VicenteBenficaBenfica02/03/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.53
Away Teams 1.23
Total (Combined) 2.76
32.6 min/Goal (585 Goals in 212 matches)
59% Clean Sheets (126 times out of 212 matches)
46% Both Teams Scored (98 times out of 212 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 42%
Draw 25%
Away Win 33%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 23%
Under 2.5 44%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.18
Shots / Match (Home) 12.68
Shots / Match (Away) 11.5
Fouls Per Match 27.81
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.86
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.95
Offsides Per Match 3.26
Players Participated 612

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 24 21 2 1 47 8 +39 65 LDWWW
2 Sporting CP 24 19 4 1 62 12 +50 61 WDWWW
3 Benfica 23 16 7 0 49 13 +36 55 WDWWW
4 Sporting Braga 24 13 6 5 50 23 +27 45 WWLWW
5 Gil Vicente 23 11 7 5 34 21 +13 40 LWWWL
6 Famalicão 23 10 5 8 29 21 +8 35 WLWLW
7 GD Estoril Praia 24 9 6 9 46 42 +4 33 WDLWL
8 Moreirense FC 23 10 3 10 29 33 -4 33 WLLWL
9 Vitória Guimarães 24 9 5 10 28 35 -7 32 WLWLD
10 Alverca 24 7 6 11 24 39 -15 27 DLDDD
11 FC Arouca 24 7 5 12 32 52 -20 26 WWLWL
12 Estrela Amadora 24 5 9 10 26 41 -15 24 DWLLD
13 Casa Pia 23 5 7 11 25 43 -18 22 DWDWL
14 CD Nacional 24 5 6 13 28 36 -8 21 LDLLL
15 Rio Ave FC 23 4 8 11 23 44 -21 20 LLLLL
16 Santa Clara 23 4 6 13 18 29 -11 18 LLLLD
17 CD Tondela 23 4 6 13 17 36 -19 18 LDDDW
18 AVS 24 1 6 17 18 57 -39 9 LLWLD

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
20/02/2026, 20:45 Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 CD Tondela
21/02/2026, 15:30 FC Arouca 3 - 0 CD Nacional
21/02/2026, 15:30 Alverca 1 - 1 Santa Clara
21/02/2026, 18:00 Benfica 3 - 0 AVS
21/02/2026, 18:00 Moreirense FC 0 - 3 Sporting CP
21/02/2026, 20:30 Sporting Braga 3 - 2 Vitória Guimarães
22/02/2026, 18:00 GD Estoril Praia 3 - 1 Gil Vicente
22/02/2026, 20:30 Porto 1 - 0 Rio Ave FC
23/02/2026, 20:15 Famalicão 2 - 0 Casa Pia

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
27/02/2026, 18:45 Porto 3 - 1 FC Arouca
27/02/2026, 20:45 Sporting CP 3 - 0 GD Estoril Praia
28/02/2026, 15:30 AVS 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
28/02/2026, 18:00 CD Nacional 1 - 2 Sporting Braga
28/02/2026, 20:30 Vitória Guimarães 1 - 1 Alverca
01/03/2026, 15:30 CD Tondela - Santa Clara
01/03/2026, 18:00 Casa Pia - Moreirense FC
01/03/2026, 20:30 Rio Ave FC - Famalicão
02/03/2026, 20:15 Gil Vicente - Benfica

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts follow Italy’s premier competition with detailed insights into key fixtures and player form.
  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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