Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Benfica

Benfica

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

8 March 2026

18:00

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Porto

Porto

Sparkles will be flying when Benfica and Porto lock horns in the Primeira Liga derby on Sunday evening. As Benfica have found their best form of late, our prediction leans toward a 1-0 home win. The Eagles are not enjoying a season to remember, but their four-game winning run is surely giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of Porto’s visit. With Jose Mourinho’s men con... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 March 2026 at 18:00

Estrela

Estrela

Prediction:
0-1

Match Time & Date:

8 March 2026

15:30

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Estrela will aim to bounce back after failing to capitalize on their dominance in a 0-0 draw with AFS. However, we predict a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente that seem to be more consistent. Both van Hooijdonk and Encada picked up injuries for Os Tricolores at the weekend, which could limit attacking options. Estrela sit mid-table in 12th place, averaging 2.80 goals per game, but the... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 March 2026 at 15:30

Estoril

Estoril

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

7 March 2026

20:30

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Estoril Praia will look to return to winning ways when they host Casa Pia after suffering a heavy 3-0 defeat to Sporting CP at the weekend. Given their fine home record, we predict a 2-1 win for Os Canarinhos. Despite that loss, Estoril have been impressive overall, collecting 1.90 points per game and winning 60% of their matches. Ian Cathro's troops are particularly strong ... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 March 2026 at 20:30

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

7 March 2026

18:00

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Sporting

Sporting

Braga welcome title contenders Sporting CP to the Estadio Municipal in what promises to be one of the standout matches of the Primeira Liga round, with 2-2 our predicted outcome. The Reds come into this clash full of confidence after a 2-1 victory over Nacional, with their recent form reading four wins in the last five matches (2.20 PPG). The hosts have been particularly imp... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 March 2026 at 18:00

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

7 March 2026

15:30

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Nacional

Nacional

Moreirense welcome Nacional looking to bounce back after a 1-1 draw with Casa Pia. Given Nacional's struggles on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. The hosts have been relatively solid this season, averaging 1.40 points per game overall and 1.50 points per game at home, where they have a 50% win rate. However, they could be without important forward Yan Maranhao, who remai... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 March 2026 at 15:30

Alverca

Alverca

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

7 March 2026

15:30

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AFS

AFS

Alverca welcome AFS in a clash where the hosts will be eager to capitalize on the visitors’ struggles at the bottom of the table. AS AFS are having a season to forget, we predict a 3-0 home win. Custodio Castro's men played out a 1-1 draw with Vitoria Guimaraes last time out and have been fairly solid at home this season. They average 1.60 points per game at home, with a 4... Read More...

This match will be played on 7 March 2026 at 15:30

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

6 March 2026

20:15

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Arouca

Arouca

Famalicao and Arouca face each other in what should be a closely contested Primeira Liga encounter, with 2-1 our predicted outcome. The hosts shared the spoils in a goalless draw with Rio Ave last time out, but they have been much stronger at home lately. Famalicao average 2.25 points per game on home soil and boast a 75% win rate there. Their attack has been far more produc... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 March 2026 at 20:15

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

2 March 2026

20:15

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Benfica

Benfica

Gil Vicente welcome Benfica on Monday aiming to bounce back from their 3-1 defeat to Estoril, but they will be without suspended defender Marvin Elimbi. Therefore, we predict a 2-1 win for Jose Mourinho's troops. Os Galos' home form offers encouragement: they average 2.20 points per game, scoring 2.40 goals per match in Barcelos and producing 1.94 xG. Gil are remarkably cons... Read More...

This match will be played on 2 March 2026 at 20:15

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

1 March 2026

20:30

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Famalicao

Famalicao

Rio Ave return home after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Porto, but their form remains deeply concerning. However, we predict that they will hold Famalicao to a 1-1 draw as the visitors are hit by suspensions. Os Rioavistas have lost five matches in a row, averaging only 0.40 points per game and failing to score in 70% of their league outings. Even at home, their output is modest: 0... Read More...

This match will be played on 1 March 2026 at 20:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
6 March 2026 • 20:03 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
TondelaTondelaRio AveRio Ave09/03/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
GuimaraesGuimaraesFamalicaoFamalicao14/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Gil VicenteGil VicenteAlvercaAlverca14/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaBenficaBenfica14/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 0-2
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
AFSAFSSanta ClaraSanta Clara15/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
NacionalNacionalEstorilEstoril15/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Rio AveRio AveEstrelaEstrela15/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
PortoPortoMoreirenseMoreirense15/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.51
Away Teams 1.22
Total (Combined) 2.73
33 min/Goal (611 Goals in 224 matches)
60% Clean Sheets (134 times out of 224 matches)
47% Both Teams Scored (105 times out of 224 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 7%
Under 1.5 23%
Under 2.5 45%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.22
Shots / Match (Home) 12.62
Shots / Match (Away) 11.6
Fouls Per Match 27.87
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.93
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.94
Offsides Per Match 3.23
Players Participated 615

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 25 21 3 1 49 10 +39 66 DWWWD
2 Sporting CP 25 19 5 1 64 14 +50 62 DWWWD
3 Benfica 25 17 8 0 53 16 +37 59 WWWWD
4 Sporting Braga 25 13 7 5 52 25 +27 46 WLWWD
5 Gil Vicente 25 11 8 6 37 25 +12 41 WWLLD
6 Famalicão 25 11 6 8 30 21 +9 39 WLWDW
7 Moreirense FC 25 10 5 10 31 35 -4 35 LWLDD
8 GD Estoril Praia 25 9 7 9 46 42 +4 34 DLWLD
9 Vitória Guimarães 25 9 5 11 28 37 -9 32 LWLDL
10 Alverca 25 7 7 11 24 39 -15 28 LDDDD
11 FC Arouca 25 7 5 13 32 53 -21 26 WLWLL
12 Estrela Amadora 25 5 10 10 28 43 -15 25 WLLDD
13 Casa Pia 25 5 9 11 26 44 -18 24 DWLDD
14 CD Nacional 25 5 7 13 29 37 -8 22 DLLLD
15 Santa Clara 25 5 7 13 22 31 -9 22 LLDDW
16 Rio Ave FC 24 4 9 11 23 44 -21 21 LLLLD
17 CD Tondela 24 4 7 13 19 38 -19 19 DDDWD
18 AVS 25 1 7 17 18 57 -39 10 LWLDD

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
27/02/2026, 18:45 Porto 3 - 1 FC Arouca
27/02/2026, 20:45 Sporting CP 3 - 0 GD Estoril Praia
28/02/2026, 15:30 AVS 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora
28/02/2026, 18:00 CD Nacional 1 - 2 Sporting Braga
28/02/2026, 20:30 Vitória Guimarães 1 - 1 Alverca
01/03/2026, 15:30 CD Tondela 2 - 2 Santa Clara
01/03/2026, 18:00 Casa Pia 1 - 1 Moreirense FC
01/03/2026, 20:30 Rio Ave FC 0 - 0 Famalicão
02/03/2026, 20:15 Gil Vicente 1 - 2 Benfica

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
06/03/2026, 20:15 Famalicão 1 - 0 FC Arouca
07/03/2026, 15:30 Alverca 0 - 0 AVS
07/03/2026, 15:30 Moreirense FC 1 - 1 CD Nacional
07/03/2026, 18:00 Sporting Braga 2 - 2 Sporting CP
07/03/2026, 20:30 GD Estoril Praia 0 - 0 Casa Pia
08/03/2026, 15:30 Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Gil Vicente
08/03/2026, 18:00 Benfica 2 - 2 Porto
08/03/2026, 20:30 Santa Clara 2 - 0 Vitória Guimarães
09/03/2026, 20:15 CD Tondela - Rio Ave FC

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts follow Italy’s premier competition with detailed insights into key fixtures and player form.
  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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