Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

16 January 2026

20:15

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Sporting return to league action with a heavily depleted defensive line, as Araujo, Hjulmand, and Inácio are all suspended. However, the reigning champions have strength in depth and we predict that they will defeat Casa Pia 3-0. Even so, Sporting’s strong home form—80% home win rate and 3.6 goals scored per home match—should give them confidence. Geny Catamo’s retu ... Read More...

This match will be played on 16 January 2026 at 20:15

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

11 January 2026

18:00

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Tondela

Tondela

Moreirense and Tondela face each other at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas in what promises to be a close encounter with 1-1 our predicted outcome. Moreirense will be without suspended defender Dinis Pinto, but otherwise arrive stable after a confidence-boosting 2–0 win over AFS. Their main issue is consistency at home: 0.33 points per game, 0% home wins, and 2.67 goals c ... Read More...

This match will be played on 11 January 2026 at 18:00

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

11 January 2026

15:30

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

As Nacional and Santa Clara seem to be evenly matched at the moment, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. Nacional head into this clash weakened by several absences, with Fernandes, Soares, and Ulisses all out and Daniel Junior plus Leo Santos doubtful. Form remains inconsistent: they average 1.4 goals scored, but with zero clean sheets and 1.6 conceded per game, defensiv ... Read More...

This match will be played on 11 January 2026 at 15:30

Alverca

Alverca

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

4 January 2026

20:30

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Famalicao

Famalicao

Alverca aim to recover quickly from their 4-1 defeat to Estoril, but their recent numbers show clear vulnerability, especially in defence. Given Famalicao's ups and downs on the road, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. The newcomers concede 2.20 goals per match overall, including 2.00 at home, while scoring only 0.50 per home game, a worrying imbalance. Their expected g ... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 January 2026 at 20:30

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

4 January 2026

18:00

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Porto

Porto

Santa Clara welcome league leaders Porto, but the hosts enter this matchup short on consistency and firepower. Therefore, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-0 away win. Santa Clara's overall return of 1.10 points per game reflects a team that struggles for rhythm, especially away, though home form is more respectable with 1.67 PPG. The Eagles score 1.50 goals per home m ... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 January 2026 at 18:00

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

4 January 2026

15:30

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Rio Ave look to bounce back after a heavy 4-0 defeat to Sporting, but their recent numbers suggest they remain competitive at home despite inconsistency. Casa Pia and Rio Ave, though, seem to be evenly matched and we predict that they will play out a 1-1 draw on Matchday 17. Os Rioavistas average 1.00 goal per match at home with an xG of 0.89, while conceding 1.50, highlight ... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 January 2026 at 15:30

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

3 January 2026

20:30

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Moreirense

Moreirense

AFS and Moreirense take on each other at Estadio do CD das Aves in what promises to be a close encounter. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. AFS's attack remains inconsistent, scoring only 0.70 goals per match, though home performances show slight improvement with 1.20 goals scored on average. Defensively, Joao Henriques' men struggle late in games, conceding ... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 January 2026 at 20:30

Estrela

Estrela

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

3 January 2026

18:00

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Braga

Braga

Estrela aim to claim a major scalp in their first game of 2026, but given Braga's recent metrics, our prediction points toward a 2-1 away win. Os Tricolores return home looking to build on a mixed run of form, having earned 1.25 PPG at home and showing a tendency for high-scoring matches with 2.25 total goals per home game. Their defence remains a concern, conceding in three ... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 January 2026 at 18:00

Benfica

Benfica

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

3 January 2026

18:00

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Estoril

Estoril

Following a 2-2 draw with Braga, Benfica are eager to return to winning ways. With Estoril struggling on the road of late, our prediction points toward 3-1 home win. The Eagles are sitting in third place in the standings, ten points behind league leaders Porto. Benfica have been scoring 2.00 goals per game of late and conceding only 0.6. Therefore, reputable bookies see them ... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 January 2026 at 18:00

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
8 October 2026 • 18:38 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca12/10/2026, 12:15
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
BragaBragaGil VicenteGil Vicente19/10/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2026/2027)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.31
Away Teams 1.4
Total (Combined) 2.71
33.2 min/Goal (190 Goals in 70 matches)
56% Clean Sheets (39 times out of 70 matches)
50% Both Teams Scored (35 times out of 70 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 40%
Draw 26%
Away Win 34%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 36%
Over 4.5 9%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 26%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 64%
Under 4.5 91%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2026/2027)
Shots Per Match 24.5
Shots / Match (Home) 13.91
Shots / Match (Away) 10.59
Fouls Per Match 25.04
Fouls / Match (Home) 12.33
Fouls / Match (Away) 12.71
Offsides Per Match 2.44
Players Participated 535

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 8 8 0 0 20 4 +16 24 WWWWW
2 Benfica 8 6 1 1 24 7 +17 19 WWWLW
3 Sporting CP 8 5 3 0 20 9 +11 18 WWDDW
4 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0 12 4 +8 18 DWWDW
5 FC Arouca 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14 WDLDW
6 Academico Viseu 8 4 2 2 11 10 +1 14 LWWWW
7 Gil Vicente 7 3 2 2 6 5 +1 11 DLLDW
8 Sporting Braga 7 3 2 2 8 8 0 11 WLWDL
9 Estrela Amadora 8 2 4 2 14 15 -1 10 DWDLL
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9 11 -2 8 LDLWW
11 CS Marítimo 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5 8 LLLDL
12 Moreirense FC 8 2 2 4 8 15 -7 8 LLWDL
13 Famalicão 7 1 4 2 9 7 +2 7 LDDDW
14 Rio Ave FC 8 2 1 5 8 17 -9 7 LLDLW
15 Vitória Guimarães 8 1 2 5 5 10 -5 5 LDLDL
16 CD Nacional 8 1 1 6 9 18 -9 4 LLLLL
17 Casa Pia 8 1 1 6 3 17 -14 4 LDLWL
18 GD Estoril Praia 8 0 2 6 4 12 -8 2 LDLLL

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
19/09/2026, 14:30 CD Nacional 0 - 4 Famalicão
19/09/2026, 14:30 Gil Vicente 1 - 1 CS Marítimo
19/09/2026, 17:00 Alverca 1 - 0 Rio Ave FC
19/09/2026, 19:30 Sporting CP 2 - 2 FC Arouca
20/09/2026, 14:30 Estrela Amadora 0 - 2 Academico Viseu
20/09/2026, 14:30 Vitória Guimarães 1 - 1 Moreirense FC
20/09/2026, 17:00 GD Estoril Praia 1 - 2 Casa Pia
20/09/2026, 17:00 Santa Clara 0 - 0 Sporting Braga
20/09/2026, 19:30 Porto 3 - 1 Benfica

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
09/10/2026, 17:45 Moreirense FC 0 - 1 Gil Vicente
09/10/2026, 19:15 Sporting Braga 1 - 3 Sporting CP
10/10/2026, 17:00 CS Marítimo 1 - 2 Porto
10/10/2026, 19:30 Academico Viseu 2 - 1 GD Estoril Praia
10/10/2026, 19:30 Casa Pia 0 - 1 Santa Clara
11/10/2026, 14:30 Rio Ave FC 3 - 2 CD Nacional
11/10/2026, 17:00 Benfica 2 - 0 Vitória Guimarães
11/10/2026, 19:30 FC Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
12/10/2026, 19:15 Famalicão - Alverca

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts follow Italy’s premier competition with detailed insights into key fixtures and player form.
  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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