Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

3 January 2026

15:30

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Arouca

Arouca

Tondela head into the first game of 2026 in worrying home form, having collected just 0.20 PPG at their own stadium and scoring only 0.20 goals per home match. Therefore, we predict that they will play our a 1-1 draw with Arouca on Matchday 17. Tondela have been struggling up front badly, failing to score in 80% of home games, while defensive numbers (1.60 conceded at home) ... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 January 2026 at 15:30

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

2 January 2026

20:45

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Nacional

Nacional

Guimaraes return home aiming to stabilise their form after a mixed run, but their underlying numbers at the Estadio D. Afonso Henriques remain encouraging. Therefore, we predict that they will defeated Nacional 1-0 on Friday evening. Os Conquistadores concede just 1.33 goals per match and keep clean sheets in 50% of their home fixtures. Overall, their defence stands out with ... Read More...

This match will be played on 2 January 2026 at 20:45

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

2 January 2026

18:45

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Sporting

Sporting

Gil Vicente are eager to claim a major scalp in the Primeira Liga round 17, but given Sporting’s four-game winning run in all competitions, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Os Galos have drawn each of their last four league matches, with the team being on a six-game winless run. Their expected goals of 1.66 at home is pretty high, but they will have a big fish t ... Read More...

This match will be played on 2 January 2026 at 18:45

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
4-0

Match Time & Date:

29 December 2025

20:15

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AFS

AFS

Porto head into Monday's clash on an unstoppable run, winning all 5 of their last 5 games and averaging 2.30 goals per match while conceding just 0.60. Therefore, we predict that they will crush AFS 4-0 at their Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons have turned their stadium into a real fortress, scoring 2.43 goals per game and keeping 43% clean sheets. Forward Borja Sainz misses o ... Read More...

This match will be played on 29 December 2025 at 20:15

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

28 December 2025

20:30

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Sporting are in red-hot form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and averaging 2.80 goals per match while conceding just 0.90. Therefore, we predict that they will record a routine 3-0 win over Rio Ave on Matchday 16. At home, the reigning champions are virtually unstoppable with a perfect 100% home win record in their last 4, scoring 4 goals per game and keeping clean sheets e ... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 December 2025 at 20:30

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

28 December 2025

18:00

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Benfica

Benfica

As both Braga and Benfica are eager to grab something from Sunday's Primeira Liga derby, a 1-1 draw is on the cards at Estadio Municipal. The Reds have been in a fine form of late, winning 7 of their last 10, with an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding just 1.00. Their home performances are particularly solid, scoring 2.50 goals per game and maintaining a 75% win ra ... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 December 2025 at 18:00

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
0-0

Match Time & Date:

28 December 2025

15:30

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Casa Pia continue to struggle at home, and their numbers reflect it. Given their recent low-scoring H2H meetings with Guimaraes, we predict a goalless draw (0-0) at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Casa Pia have taken just 0.25 PPG on their own ground (0-1-3), scoring only 1.25 goals per home match while conceding a worrying 2.50. Their overall expected goals remains modest ( ... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 December 2025 at 15:30

Arouca

Arouca

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

28 December 2025

15:30

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Arouca aim to return to winning ways following a goalless draw with Santa Clara and given Gil Vicente's attacking potential, a 2-2 draw is on the cards at Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Os Lobos average only 1.00 PPG at home, while their attack has struggled, scoring just 0.50 goals per home match despite generating 1.35 expected goals on this ground. Defensive issues remain a ... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 December 2025 at 15:30

Estoril

Estoril

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

27 December 2025

20:30

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Alverca

Alverca

Estoril look to build on their solid home rhythm, having collected 1.60 PPG in front of their fans and scoring 2.00 goals per home match. Given Alverca's difficulties on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. Estoril's attacking consistency is backed by strong underlying numbers (1.63 xG at home), and with 80% BTTS in home fixtures, Estoril matches tend to be open. Defensively ... Read More...

This match will be played on 27 December 2025 at 20:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
18 October 2026 • 16:58 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
BragaBragaGil VicenteGil Vicente19/10/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
GuimaraesGuimaraesMaritimoMaritimo23/10/2026, 20:45
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EstrelaEstrelaCasa PiaCasa Pia24/10/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
AlvercaAlvercaAroucaArouca24/10/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Gil VicenteGil VicentePortoPorto24/10/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
EstorilEstorilMoreirenseMoreirense25/10/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
NacionalNacionalBragaBraga25/10/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
Rio AveRio AveFamalicaoFamalicao25/10/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
SportingSportingAcademico ViseuAcademico Viseu25/10/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Santa ClaraSanta ClaraBenficaBenfica26/10/2026, 18:45
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2026/2027)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.31
Away Teams 1.44
Total (Combined) 2.75
32.8 min/Goal (195 Goals in 71 matches)
55% Clean Sheets (39 times out of 71 matches)
51% Both Teams Scored (36 times out of 71 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 39%
Draw 25%
Away Win 36%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 37%
Over 4.5 10%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 45%
Under 3.5 63%
Under 4.5 90%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2026/2027)
Shots Per Match 24.52
Shots / Match (Home) 13.9
Shots / Match (Away) 10.62
Fouls Per Match 25.23
Fouls / Match (Home) 12.31
Fouls / Match (Away) 12.92
Offsides Per Match 2.43
Players Participated 535

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 8 8 0 0 20 4 +16 24 WWWWW
2 Benfica 8 6 1 1 24 7 +17 19 WWWLW
3 Sporting CP 8 5 3 0 20 9 +11 18 WWDDW
4 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0 12 4 +8 18 DWWDW
5 FC Arouca 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14 WDLDW
6 Academico Viseu 8 4 2 2 11 10 +1 14 LWWWW
7 Gil Vicente 7 3 2 2 6 5 +1 11 DLLDW
8 Alverca 8 3 2 3 13 12 +1 11 DLWWW
9 Sporting Braga 7 3 2 2 8 8 0 11 WLWDL
10 Estrela Amadora 8 2 4 2 14 15 -1 10 DWDLL
11 CS Marítimo 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5 8 LLLDL
12 Moreirense FC 8 2 2 4 8 15 -7 8 LLWDL
13 Famalicão 8 1 4 3 10 11 -1 7 DDDWL
14 Rio Ave FC 8 2 1 5 8 17 -9 7 LLDLW
15 Vitória Guimarães 8 1 2 5 5 10 -5 5 LDLDL
16 CD Nacional 8 1 1 6 9 18 -9 4 LLLLL
17 Casa Pia 8 1 1 6 3 17 -14 4 LDLWL
18 GD Estoril Praia 8 0 2 6 4 12 -8 2 LDLLL

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
09/10/2026, 17:45 Moreirense FC 0 - 1 Gil Vicente
09/10/2026, 19:15 Sporting Braga 1 - 3 Sporting CP
10/10/2026, 17:00 CS Marítimo 1 - 2 Porto
10/10/2026, 19:30 Academico Viseu 2 - 1 GD Estoril Praia
10/10/2026, 19:30 Casa Pia 0 - 1 Santa Clara
11/10/2026, 14:30 Rio Ave FC 3 - 2 CD Nacional
11/10/2026, 17:00 Benfica 2 - 0 Vitória Guimarães
11/10/2026, 19:30 FC Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
12/10/2026, 19:15 Famalicão 1 - 4 Alverca

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
23/10/2026, 19:45 Vitória Guimarães - CS Marítimo
24/10/2026, 14:30 Estrela Amadora - Casa Pia
24/10/2026, 17:00 Alverca - FC Arouca
24/10/2026, 19:30 Gil Vicente - Porto
25/10/2026, 15:30 GD Estoril Praia - Moreirense FC
25/10/2026, 18:00 CD Nacional - Sporting Braga
25/10/2026, 18:00 Rio Ave FC - Famalicão
25/10/2026, 20:30 Sporting CP - Academico Viseu
26/10/2026, 18:45 Santa Clara - Benfica

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Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

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  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.

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