Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

15 February 2026

18:00

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Estoril

Estoril

AFS aim to bounce back from a 3-1 loss to Famalicao, but given their poor defensive numbers at home, we predict a 2-1 win over Estoril. Defender Paulo Vitor limped off injured at the weeken, with Ponck likely to deputise. Therefore their already fragile defence is expected to become even more vulnerable. AFS have collected just 0.50 points per game overall, with a worrying d... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 February 2026 at 18:00

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

15 February 2026

15:30

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Porto

Porto

Nacional aim to claim a major scalp in the Primeira Liga round 22, but given their negative H2H record against league leaders Porto, we predict a 2-0 away win. The hosts head into this clash short-handed, with defender Leo Santos suspended and Jose Gomes doubtful after picking up a knock in the goalless draw with Casa Pia. That leaves their back line exposed at a time when t... Read More...

This match will be played on 15 February 2026 at 15:30

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

14 February 2026

20:30

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Braga

Braga

Gil Vicente enter this clash on a strong run, having defeated Moreirense 2–1 last weekend, but given their negative H2H record against Braga, we are tempted to bet on the in-form visitors (1-2). With a full squad available, Cesar Peixoto is unlikely to alter a winning formula. At home, Gil Vicente have been dependable, averaging 1.60 points per game and scoring 2.00 goals ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 February 2026 at 20:30

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

14 February 2026

18:00

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Estrela

Estrela

Vitoria Guimaraes look to get back on course after a mixed run, and their 1.50 points per game at home suggests they remain difficult to beat at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Given Estrela's shaky defence, we predict a 2-0 home win. Defender Maga is suspended, though he is not a regular starter, meaning the core of the team remains intact. Guimaraes score 1.00 goal per home ... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 February 2026 at 18:00

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

14 February 2026

15:30

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Arouca

Arouca

Casa Pia return home after a solid but frustrating 0–0 draw with Nacional, yet their defensive worries continue to grow. Anyhow, we are tempted to place our bets on draw as the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment. Both Fonte and Kiki remain injured, while key defender Duplexe Tchamba is a major doubt, leaving the hosts short of options at the back. Casa Pia a... Read More...

This match will be played on 14 February 2026 at 15:30

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

13 February 2026

20:45

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Alverca

Alverca

Tondela continue their search for consistency as they return home following a lively 2–2 draw with Estoril. Given Alverca's attacking potential on the road, yet another high-scoring draw (2-2) is on the cards. Important defender Emmanuel Maviram remains doubtful and with Tondela conceding 1.50 goals per match overall and posting an xGA of 1.71 at home, his absence could be... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 February 2026 at 20:45

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Prediction:
0-3

Match Time & Date:

13 February 2026

18:30

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Benfica

Benfica

Benfica aim to maintain their title push as they travel to face struggling Santa Clara, who remain winless in five and are coming off a narrow 1–0 defeat to Estrela. Given Santa Clara's poor form, our prediction points toward a 3-0 away win. The hosts have no fresh injury concerns, but their numbers are worrying: only 0.50 points per game overall, a 10% win rate, and a poo... Read More...

This match will be played on 13 February 2026 at 18:30

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

9 February 2026

19:45

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Sporting

Sporting

Porto host Sporting CP in a top-of-the-table clash with just four points separating the sides. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-2 draw. Farioli's men suffered a setback in a 2-1 loss to Casa Pia, but their home form remains flawless: five straight league wins, averaging 3.0 goals per game at the Dragao and conceding only 0.4... Read More...

This match will be played on 9 February 2026 at 19:45

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

9 February 2026

19:45

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AFS

AFS

Famalicao look to get back on course after a heavy 5-0 defeat to Gil Vicente, and the suspension of Mathias de Amorim certainly doesn’t help their midfield balance. Anyhow, we predict a 2-1 home win as Famalicao have turned their Estadio Municipal de Famalicao into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. Famalicao's home numbers offer encouragement: 1.50 points per gam... Read More...

This match will be played on 9 February 2026 at 19:45

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
6 March 2026 • 20:03 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
GuimaraesGuimaraesFamalicaoFamalicao14/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Gil VicenteGil VicenteAlvercaAlverca14/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaBenficaBenfica14/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 0-2
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
AFSAFSSanta ClaraSanta Clara15/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
NacionalNacionalEstorilEstoril15/03/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Rio AveRio AveEstrelaEstrela15/03/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
PortoPortoMoreirenseMoreirense15/03/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.5
Away Teams 1.22
Total (Combined) 2.72
33.1 min/Goal (612 Goals in 225 matches)
60% Clean Sheets (135 times out of 225 matches)
47% Both Teams Scored (105 times out of 225 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 7%
Under 1.5 24%
Under 2.5 45%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.18
Shots / Match (Home) 12.59
Shots / Match (Away) 11.59
Fouls Per Match 27.87
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.93
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.94
Offsides Per Match 3.22
Players Participated 615

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 25 21 3 1 49 10 +39 66 DWWWD
2 Sporting CP 25 19 5 1 64 14 +50 62 DWWWD
3 Benfica 25 17 8 0 53 16 +37 59 WWWWD
4 Sporting Braga 25 13 7 5 52 25 +27 46 WLWWD
5 Gil Vicente 25 11 8 6 37 25 +12 41 WWLLD
6 Famalicão 25 11 6 8 30 21 +9 39 WLWDW
7 Moreirense FC 25 10 5 10 31 35 -4 35 LWLDD
8 GD Estoril Praia 25 9 7 9 46 42 +4 34 DLWLD
9 Vitória Guimarães 25 9 5 11 28 37 -9 32 LWLDL
10 Alverca 25 7 7 11 24 39 -15 28 LDDDD
11 FC Arouca 25 7 5 13 32 53 -21 26 WLWLL
12 Estrela Amadora 25 5 10 10 28 43 -15 25 WLLDD
13 Casa Pia 25 5 9 11 26 44 -18 24 DWLDD
14 Rio Ave FC 25 5 9 11 24 44 -20 24 LLLDW
15 CD Nacional 25 5 7 13 29 37 -8 22 DLLLD
16 Santa Clara 25 5 7 13 22 31 -9 22 LLDDW
17 CD Tondela 25 4 7 14 19 39 -20 19 DDWDL
18 AVS 25 1 7 17 18 57 -39 10 LWLDD

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
06/03/2026, 20:15 Famalicão 1 - 0 FC Arouca
07/03/2026, 15:30 Alverca 0 - 0 AVS
07/03/2026, 15:30 Moreirense FC 1 - 1 CD Nacional
07/03/2026, 18:00 Sporting Braga 2 - 2 Sporting CP
07/03/2026, 20:30 GD Estoril Praia 0 - 0 Casa Pia
08/03/2026, 15:30 Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Gil Vicente
08/03/2026, 18:00 Benfica 2 - 2 Porto
08/03/2026, 20:30 Santa Clara 2 - 0 Vitória Guimarães
09/03/2026, 20:15 CD Tondela 0 - 1 Rio Ave FC

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
14/03/2026, 15:30 Vitória Guimarães - Famalicão
14/03/2026, 18:00 Gil Vicente - Alverca
14/03/2026, 20:30 FC Arouca - Benfica
15/03/2026, 00:00 Sporting CP - CD Tondela
15/03/2026, 15:30 CD Nacional - GD Estoril Praia
15/03/2026, 15:30 AVS - Santa Clara
15/03/2026, 18:00 Rio Ave FC - Estrela Amadora
15/03/2026, 20:30 Porto - Moreirense FC
23/04/2026, 00:00 Casa Pia - Sporting Braga

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts follow Italy’s premier competition with detailed insights into key fixtures and player form.
  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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