Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Alverca

Alverca

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

24 April 2026

20:15

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Arouca

Arouca

Alverca return home aiming to bounce back from a narrow 1-0 defeat to Nacional, but their recent form suggests another tight contest is likely. As both Alverca and Arouca should be happy with one point from Friday's game, we predict a 1-1 draw. Custodio Castro's men have drawn five of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.10 points per game, with a strong trend toward both team ... Read More...

This match will be played on 24 April 2026 at 20:15

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
0-1

Match Time & Date:

23 April 2026

20:15

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Braga

Braga

Casa Pia AC host SC Braga in a Liga Portugal clash where both sides have very different priorities at this stage of the season. Anyhow, we predict a 1-0 away win as Braga are more of a team than Casa Pia. The hosts are trying to escape the relegation zone after a goalless draw with Santa Clara, and their recent form (1.10 PPG) reflects inconsistency. They struggle in attack, ... Read More...

This match will be played on 23 April 2026 at 20:15

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

20 April 2026

20:15

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Estoril

Estoril

Moreirense and Estoril meet in a low-pressure clash between two mid-table sides with little left to play for. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a high-scoring 2-2 draw. Moreirense head into this game in poor form (0.60 PPG), particularly struggling at home where they have failed to win in their last five (0.20 PPG), scoring just 0.40 goals per match. Defensive issues pe ... Read More...

This match will be played on 20 April 2026 at 20:15

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

19 April 2026

20:30

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Tondela

Tondela

Porto will try to cement top position as they host struggling CD Tondela to their Estadio do Dragao. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, we predict a 3-0 home win. The Dragons come into this clash in strong form (2.10 points per game), building momentum after a 3-1 win over Estoril. Porto are particularly effective at home, averaging 2.20 goals scored while ... Read More...

This match will be played on 19 April 2026 at 20:30

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

19 April 2026

20:30

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Famalicao

Famalicao

Braga will be aiming to build on a hard-fought 1-0 win over Arouca when they face Famalicao on Matchday 30, but fatigue could be a key factor following their midweek Europa League clash with Betis. However, we predict a 3-1 home win as Famalicao are not regarded as excellent travellers. The Reds remain solid overall (1.70 PPG), especially at home where they score 2.00 goals ... Read More...

This match will be played on 19 April 2026 at 20:30

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

19 April 2026

18:00

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Benfica

Benfica

All eyes will be on Estadio Jose Alvalade as Sporting CP host fierce rivals Benfica in a decisive Lisbon derby. With the Lions turning their stadium into a real fortress, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. The reigning champions are chasing the top spot and come into this clash in excellent form (2.20 PPG), winning 7 of their last 10 matches. At home, they are parti ... Read More...

This match will be played on 19 April 2026 at 18:00

Arouca

Arouca

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

19 April 2026

15:30

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Estrela

Estrela

Arouca return home aiming to bounce back from a narrow 1-0 loss to Braga, but with less pressure as they are relatively safe. As Estrela are not regarded as good travellers, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-1 home win. Arouca's form has been solid overall (1.50 PPG), and they are particularly strong at home, winning 75% of matches while averaging an impressive 2.50 go ... Read More...

This match will be played on 19 April 2026 at 15:30

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

18 April 2026

20:30

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Gil Vicente continue their push toward a Conference League spot, boosted by the return of defender Ze Carlos from suspension. As Guimaraes have little to play for in the season finale, we predict a 2-1 home win. Os Galos' recent form is solid (1.50 PPG), particularly at home where they average 2.00 PPG and an impressive 2.60 goals scored per game. Matches involving Gil Vicen ... Read More...

This match will be played on 18 April 2026 at 20:30

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

18 April 2026

18:00

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Casa Pia head into this crucial relegation battle looking to respond after a 3-1 defeat to Alverca. As Os Gansos want this win more than Santa Clara, we predict a 1-0 home win. Casa Pia's overall form is inconsistent (1.10 points per game), but they are significantly stronger at home, where they average 1.80 PPG and remain unbeaten in several recent outings. However, their b ... Read More...

This match will be played on 18 April 2026 at 18:00

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
14 May 2026 • 08:55 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
BragaBragaEstrelaEstrela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaTondelaTondela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
SportingSportingGil VicenteGil Vicente16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EstorilEstorilBenficaBenfica16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.5
Away Teams 1.19
Total (Combined) 2.68
33.5 min/Goal (821 Goals in 306 matches)
57% Clean Sheets (179 times out of 306 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (147 times out of 306 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 10%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 7%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 90%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.14
Shots / Match (Home) 12.74
Shots / Match (Away) 11.4
Fouls Per Match 27.44
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.82
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.63
Offsides Per Match 3.14
Players Participated 644

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66 18 +48 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89 24 +65 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74 25 +49 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64 36 +28 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42 29 +13 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47 38 +9 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense FC 34 12 7 15 37 49 -12 43 WLWLD
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39 51 -12 42 WWLLL
9 FC Arouca 34 12 6 16 47 64 -17 42 WLDWW
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 10 9 15 54 57 -3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35 52 -17 39 LWLDL
12 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32 41 -9 36 DWDWL
13 Rio Ave FC 34 8 12 14 35 57 -22 36 DLDLD
14 CD Nacional 34 9 7 18 37 45 -8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38 56 -18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31 57 -26 30 LLLWD
17 CD Tondela 34 6 10 18 27 55 -28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27 67 -40 21 DDWWD

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
16/05/2026, 14:30 Moreirense FC - AVS
16/05/2026, 14:30 Porto - Santa Clara
16/05/2026, 17:00 FC Arouca - CD Tondela
16/05/2026, 17:00 Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
16/05/2026, 17:00 CD Nacional - Vitória Guimarães
16/05/2026, 17:00 Casa Pia - Rio Ave FC
16/05/2026, 19:30 GD Estoril Praia - Benfica
16/05/2026, 19:30 Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
16/05/2026, 19:30 Famalicão - Alverca

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

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  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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