Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

11 January 2026

18:00

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Tondela

Tondela

Moreirense and Tondela face each other at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas in what promises to be a close encounter with 1-1 our predicted outcome. Moreirense will be without suspended defender Dinis Pinto, but otherwise arrive stable after a confidence-boosting 2–0 win over AFS. Their main issue is consistency at home: 0.33 points per game, 0% home wins, and 2.67 goals c... Read More...

This match will be played on 11 January 2026 at 18:00

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

11 January 2026

15:30

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

As Nacional and Santa Clara seem to be evenly matched at the moment, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. Nacional head into this clash weakened by several absences, with Fernandes, Soares, and Ulisses all out and Daniel Junior plus Leo Santos doubtful. Form remains inconsistent: they average 1.4 goals scored, but with zero clean sheets and 1.6 conceded per game, defensiv... Read More...

This match will be played on 11 January 2026 at 15:30

Alverca

Alverca

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

4 January 2026

20:30

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Famalicao

Famalicao

Alverca aim to recover quickly from their 4-1 defeat to Estoril, but their recent numbers show clear vulnerability, especially in defence. Given Famalicao's ups and downs on the road, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. The newcomers concede 2.20 goals per match overall, including 2.00 at home, while scoring only 0.50 per home game, a worrying imbalance. Their expected g... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 January 2026 at 20:30

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

4 January 2026

18:00

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Porto

Porto

Santa Clara welcome league leaders Porto, but the hosts enter this matchup short on consistency and firepower. Therefore, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-0 away win. Santa Clara's overall return of 1.10 points per game reflects a team that struggles for rhythm, especially away, though home form is more respectable with 1.67 PPG. The Eagles score 1.50 goals per home m... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 January 2026 at 18:00

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

4 January 2026

15:30

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Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Rio Ave look to bounce back after a heavy 4-0 defeat to Sporting, but their recent numbers suggest they remain competitive at home despite inconsistency. Casa Pia and Rio Ave, though, seem to be evenly matched and we predict that they will play out a 1-1 draw on Matchday 17. Os Rioavistas average 1.00 goal per match at home with an xG of 0.89, while conceding 1.50, highlight... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 January 2026 at 15:30

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

3 January 2026

20:30

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Moreirense

Moreirense

AFS and Moreirense take on each other at Estadio do CD das Aves in what promises to be a close encounter. Therefore, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. AFS's attack remains inconsistent, scoring only 0.70 goals per match, though home performances show slight improvement with 1.20 goals scored on average. Defensively, Joao Henriques' men struggle late in games, conceding... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 January 2026 at 20:30

Estrela

Estrela

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

3 January 2026

18:00

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Braga

Braga

Estrela aim to claim a major scalp in their first game of 2026, but given Braga's recent metrics, our prediction points toward a 2-1 away win. Os Tricolores return home looking to build on a mixed run of form, having earned 1.25 PPG at home and showing a tendency for high-scoring matches with 2.25 total goals per home game. Their defence remains a concern, conceding in three... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 January 2026 at 18:00

Benfica

Benfica

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

3 January 2026

18:00

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Estoril

Estoril

Following a 2-2 draw with Braga, Benfica are eager to return to winning ways. With Estoril struggling on the road of late, our prediction points toward 3-1 home win. The Eagles are sitting in third place in the standings, ten points behind league leaders Porto. Benfica have been scoring 2.00 goals per game of late and conceding only 0.6. Therefore, reputable bookies see them... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 January 2026 at 18:00

Tondela

Tondela

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

3 January 2026

15:30

VIEW PREDICTION

Arouca

Arouca

Tondela head into the first game of 2026 in worrying home form, having collected just 0.20 PPG at their own stadium and scoring only 0.20 goals per home match. Therefore, we predict that they will play our a 1-1 draw with Arouca on Matchday 17. Tondela have been struggling up front badly, failing to score in 80% of home games, while defensive numbers (1.60 conceded at home) ... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 January 2026 at 15:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
12 February 2026 • 08:20 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
Casa PiaCasa PiaAroucaArouca14/02/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
GuimaraesGuimaraesEstrelaEstrela14/02/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Gil VicenteGil VicenteBragaBraga14/02/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
NacionalNacionalPortoPorto15/02/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 0-2
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
AFSAFSEstorilEstoril15/02/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
SportingSportingFamalicaoFamalicao15/02/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Rio AveRio AveMoreirenseMoreirense16/02/2026, 20:15
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.51
Away Teams 1.26
Total (Combined) 2.77
32.5 min/Goal (529 Goals in 191 matches)
60% Clean Sheets (114 times out of 191 matches)
46% Both Teams Scored (88 times out of 191 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 40%
Draw 26%
Away Win 34%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 31%
Over 4.5 12%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 23%
Under 2.5 45%
Under 3.5 69%
Under 4.5 88%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.19
Shots / Match (Home) 12.51
Shots / Match (Away) 11.68
Fouls Per Match 27.86
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.87
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.98
Offsides Per Match 3.25
Players Participated 601

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 21 18 2 1 42 7 +35 56 WWWLD
2 Sporting CP 21 16 4 1 55 12 +43 52 DWWWD
3 Benfica 22 15 7 0 46 13 +33 52 WWDWW
4 Sporting Braga 21 11 6 4 44 18 +26 39 DWWWW
5 Gil Vicente 21 10 7 4 31 17 +14 37 DWLWW
6 Famalicão 21 9 5 7 27 20 +7 32 LWWLW
7 GD Estoril Praia 21 8 6 7 43 35 +8 30 LWWWD
8 Moreirense FC 21 9 3 9 27 29 -2 30 WLWLL
9 Vitória Guimarães 21 8 4 9 23 30 -7 28 WLLWL
10 Alverca 22 7 4 11 22 37 -15 25 WLDLD
11 Estrela Amadora 21 5 8 8 25 37 -12 23 DLLDW
12 FC Arouca 21 6 5 10 26 46 -20 23 LWLWW
13 CD Nacional 21 5 6 10 27 30 -3 21 DLWLD
14 Rio Ave FC 21 4 8 9 22 41 -19 20 WLLLL
15 Casa Pia 21 4 7 10 22 39 -17 19 LLDWD
16 Santa Clara 22 4 5 13 17 28 -11 17 LLLLL
17 CD Tondela 22 3 6 13 15 36 -21 15 LLDDD
18 AVS 21 0 5 16 15 54 -39 5 LLDLL

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
07/02/2026, 15:30 Moreirense FC 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
07/02/2026, 15:30 Estrela Amadora 1 - 0 Santa Clara
07/02/2026, 18:00 GD Estoril Praia 2 - 2 CD Tondela
07/02/2026, 20:30 FC Arouca 3 - 2 Vitória Guimarães
08/02/2026, 15:30 CD Nacional 0 - 0 Casa Pia
08/02/2026, 18:00 Sporting Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave FC
08/02/2026, 20:30 Benfica 2 - 1 Alverca
09/02/2026, 18:45 Famalicão 3 - 1 AVS
09/02/2026, 20:45 Porto 1 - 1 Sporting CP

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
13/02/2026, 18:30 Santa Clara 1 - 2 Benfica
13/02/2026, 20:45 CD Tondela 1 - 1 Alverca
14/02/2026, 15:30 Casa Pia - FC Arouca
14/02/2026, 18:00 Vitória Guimarães - Estrela Amadora
14/02/2026, 20:30 Gil Vicente - Sporting Braga
15/02/2026, 15:30 CD Nacional - Porto
15/02/2026, 18:00 AVS - GD Estoril Praia
15/02/2026, 20:30 Sporting CP - Famalicão
16/02/2026, 20:15 Rio Ave FC - Moreirense FC

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts follow Italy’s premier competition with detailed insights into key fixtures and player form.
  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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