Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

2 January 2026

20:45

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Nacional

Nacional

Guimaraes return home aiming to stabilise their form after a mixed run, but their underlying numbers at the Estadio D. Afonso Henriques remain encouraging. Therefore, we predict that they will defeated Nacional 1-0 on Friday evening. Os Conquistadores concede just 1.33 goals per match and keep clean sheets in 50% of their home fixtures. Overall, their defence stands out with... Read More...

This match will be played on 2 January 2026 at 20:45

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

2 January 2026

18:45

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Sporting

Sporting

Gil Vicente are eager to claim a major scalp in the Primeira Liga round 17, but given Sporting’s four-game winning run in all competitions, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win. Os Galos have drawn each of their last four league matches, with the team being on a six-game winless run. Their expected goals of 1.66 at home is pretty high, but they will have a big fish t... Read More...

This match will be played on 2 January 2026 at 18:45

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
4-0

Match Time & Date:

29 December 2025

20:15

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AFS

AFS

Porto head into Monday's clash on an unstoppable run, winning all 5 of their last 5 games and averaging 2.30 goals per match while conceding just 0.60. Therefore, we predict that they will crush AFS 4-0 at their Estadio do Dragao. The Dragons have turned their stadium into a real fortress, scoring 2.43 goals per game and keeping 43% clean sheets. Forward Borja Sainz misses o... Read More...

This match will be played on 29 December 2025 at 20:15

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

28 December 2025

20:30

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Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Sporting are in red-hot form, winning 4 of their last 5 games and averaging 2.80 goals per match while conceding just 0.90. Therefore, we predict that they will record a routine 3-0 win over Rio Ave on Matchday 16. At home, the reigning champions are virtually unstoppable with a perfect 100% home win record in their last 4, scoring 4 goals per game and keeping clean sheets e... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 December 2025 at 20:30

Braga

Braga

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

28 December 2025

18:00

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Benfica

Benfica

As both Braga and Benfica are eager to grab something from Sunday's Primeira Liga derby, a 1-1 draw is on the cards at Estadio Municipal. The Reds have been in a fine form of late, winning 7 of their last 10, with an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding just 1.00. Their home performances are particularly solid, scoring 2.50 goals per game and maintaining a 75% win ra... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 December 2025 at 18:00

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
0-0

Match Time & Date:

28 December 2025

15:30

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

Casa Pia continue to struggle at home, and their numbers reflect it. Given their recent low-scoring H2H meetings with Guimaraes, we predict a goalless draw (0-0) at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Casa Pia have taken just 0.25 PPG on their own ground (0-1-3), scoring only 1.25 goals per home match while conceding a worrying 2.50. Their overall expected goals remains modest (... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 December 2025 at 15:30

Arouca

Arouca

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

28 December 2025

15:30

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Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

Arouca aim to return to winning ways following a goalless draw with Santa Clara and given Gil Vicente's attacking potential, a 2-2 draw is on the cards at Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Os Lobos average only 1.00 PPG at home, while their attack has struggled, scoring just 0.50 goals per home match despite generating 1.35 expected goals on this ground. Defensive issues remain a... Read More...

This match will be played on 28 December 2025 at 15:30

Estoril

Estoril

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

27 December 2025

20:30

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Alverca

Alverca

Estoril look to build on their solid home rhythm, having collected 1.60 PPG in front of their fans and scoring 2.00 goals per home match. Given Alverca's difficulties on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. Estoril's attacking consistency is backed by strong underlying numbers (1.63 xG at home), and with 80% BTTS in home fixtures, Estoril matches tend to be open. Defensively... Read More...

This match will be played on 27 December 2025 at 20:30

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

27 December 2025

18:00

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Estrela

Estrela

Famalicao return home looking to steady their form and given their fine home record, we predict that they will defeat Estrela 1-0. Famalicao's expected goals numbers are consistent (1.50 xG at home), and despite the absence of important defender Pedro Bondo due to international duty, the hosts generally defend well in front of their fans. They also keep 50% home clean sheets... Read More...

This match will be played on 27 December 2025 at 18:00

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
5 February 2026 • 09:23 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
EstrelaEstrelaSanta ClaraSanta Clara07/02/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
MoreirenseMoreirenseGil VicenteGil Vicente07/02/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
EstorilEstorilTondelaTondela07/02/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaGuimaraesGuimaraes07/02/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
NacionalNacionalCasa PiaCasa Pia08/02/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
BragaBragaRio AveRio Ave08/02/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 3-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
BenficaBenficaAlvercaAlverca08/02/2026, 19:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAFSAFS09/02/2026, 19:45
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
PortoPortoSportingSporting09/02/2026, 19:45
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.5
Away Teams 1.27
Total (Combined) 2.77
32.5 min/Goal (499 Goals in 180 matches)
61% Clean Sheets (110 times out of 180 matches)
44% Both Teams Scored (80 times out of 180 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 40%
Draw 25%
Away Win 35%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 32%
Over 4.5 12%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 23%
Under 2.5 45%
Under 3.5 68%
Under 4.5 88%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.18
Shots / Match (Home) 12.42
Shots / Match (Away) 11.76
Fouls Per Match 27.98
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.84
Fouls / Match (Away) 14.14
Offsides Per Match 3.29
Players Participated 578

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 20 18 1 1 41 6 +35 55 WWWWL
2 Sporting CP 20 16 3 1 54 11 +43 51 WDWWW
3 Benfica 20 13 7 0 42 11 +31 46 DWWWD
4 Sporting Braga 20 10 6 4 41 18 +23 36 DDWWW
5 Gil Vicente 20 9 7 4 29 16 +13 34 DDWLW
6 Moreirense FC 20 9 3 8 26 27 -1 30 WWLWL
7 GD Estoril Praia 20 8 5 7 41 33 +8 29 WLWWW
8 Famalicão 20 8 5 7 24 19 +5 29 LLWWL
9 Vitória Guimarães 20 8 4 8 21 27 -6 28 DWLLW
10 Alverca 20 7 3 10 20 34 -14 24 LWWLD
11 CD Nacional 20 5 5 10 27 30 -3 20 LDLWL
12 Estrela Amadora 20 4 8 8 24 37 -13 20 WDLLD
13 Rio Ave FC 20 4 8 8 22 38 -16 20 LWLLL
14 FC Arouca 20 5 5 10 23 44 -21 20 DLWLW
15 Casa Pia 20 4 6 10 22 39 -17 18 DLLDW
16 Santa Clara 20 4 5 11 16 25 -9 17 LDLLL
17 CD Tondela 20 3 4 13 12 33 -21 13 WLLLD
18 AVS 20 0 5 15 14 51 -37 5 LLLDL

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
30/01/2026, 20:45 Vitória Guimarães 1 - 0 Moreirense FC
31/01/2026, 15:30 Santa Clara 2 - 4 GD Estoril Praia
31/01/2026, 18:00 Rio Ave FC 0 - 3 FC Arouca
31/01/2026, 20:30 Alverca 1 - 1 Estrela Amadora
01/02/2026, 15:30 Gil Vicente 5 - 0 Famalicão
01/02/2026, 18:00 Sporting CP 2 - 1 CD Nacional
01/02/2026, 20:30 CD Tondela 0 - 0 Benfica
02/02/2026, 18:45 AVS 0 - 4 Sporting Braga
02/02/2026, 20:45 Casa Pia 2 - 1 Porto

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
07/02/2026, 15:30 Moreirense FC - Gil Vicente
07/02/2026, 15:30 Estrela Amadora - Santa Clara
07/02/2026, 18:00 GD Estoril Praia - CD Tondela
07/02/2026, 20:30 FC Arouca - Vitória Guimarães
08/02/2026, 15:30 CD Nacional - Casa Pia
08/02/2026, 18:00 Sporting Braga - Rio Ave FC
08/02/2026, 20:30 Benfica - Alverca
09/02/2026, 18:45 Famalicão - AVS
09/02/2026, 20:45 Porto - Sporting CP

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Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

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  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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