Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

AFS

AFS

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

11 April 2026

15:30

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Guimaraes

Guimaraes

AFS head into this fixture in a desperate situation, sitting at the bottom of the table with very slim survival hopes. Given the huge gap in quality between AFS and Vitoria Guimaraes, we predict a 2-0 away win. AFS' recent form reflects those struggles, picking up just 0.60 points per game while scoring only 0.60 goals on average. Injuries to Roni and Baroan further weaken a ... Read More...

This match will be played on 11 April 2026 at 15:30

Famalicao

Famalicao

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

10 April 2026

20:45

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Moreirense

Moreirense

Famalicao host Moreirense in what looks set to be a one-sided contest, with 2-0 our predicted outcome. Famalicao have been in strong form recently, collecting 2.00 points per game over their last ten matches and boasting an unbeaten home streak, winning all five of their home fixtures while scoring 2.00 goals per game and conceding just 0.20. Midfielder Mathias De Amorim is ... Read More...

This match will be played on 10 April 2026 at 20:45

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

6 April 2026

20:45

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Benfica

Benfica

Casa Pia return home looking to recover from a heavy 4–0 loss to Estrela, but given Benfica's signs of improvement, our prediction leans toward 2-1 away win. Despite the aforementioned setback, Cash Pia's home form has been strong (DWWD), averaging 2.25 goals scored and seeing BTTS land in 100% of those matches. However, defensively they remain vulnerable, conceding 1.75 g ... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 April 2026 at 20:45

Arouca

Arouca

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

6 April 2026

18:45

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Estoril

Estoril

Arouca come into this matchup after a narrow 1–0 win over Moreirense, though they may be without Lee and Nandin. As both Arouca and Estoril are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach, we predict a 2-2 draw. Arouca's form (WLWWLWLLLW) shows inconsistency, but they remain competitive, especially at home where they score 2.00 goals per game and see BTTS land in 75% of matc ... Read More...

This match will be played on 6 April 2026 at 18:45

Porto

Porto

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

4 April 2026

20:30

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Famalicao

Famalicao

Porto host Famalicao to their Estadio do Dragao aiming to strengthen their grip on top spot, coming in with excellent form and a strong 2.30 points per game average. As Famalicao produce much better showings at home than on the travels, we predict a 2-0 home win. The Dragons are particularly dominant on home soil, winning 80% of matches while conceding just 0.40 goals per ga ... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 April 2026 at 20:30

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

4 April 2026

18:00

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Alverca

Alverca

Rio Ave come into this clash with renewed confidence after a 2–1 away win over Estoril, though their overall form (LLLLLLDWWW) still reflects inconsistency. Os Rioavistas struggle offensively, scoring just 0.60 goals per game and failing to score in 60% of matches. However, their expected goals (1.36 at home) suggest they create more than they convert, offering some optimi ... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 April 2026 at 18:00

Moreirense

Moreirense

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

4 April 2026

18:00

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Braga

Braga

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas will host Saturday's Primeira Liga game between Moreirense and Braga, with the visitors looking to bounce back from a narrow 1–0 defeat to Arouca. As Moreirense suit Braga, we predict a 2-1 away win. Moreirense's form (LWLLWLDDLL) has been poor, scoring just 0.70 goals per game while conceding 1.50, and only managing a 20% win rate. Both A ... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 April 2026 at 18:00

Nacional

Nacional

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

4 April 2026

15:30

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Estrela

Estrela

Nacional welcome Estrela looking to bounce back after a 1–0 defeat, but they will be without midfielder Matheus Dias. Anyhow, we predict a 1-0 home win as Estrela struggle offensively on the travels. Nacional's recent form (LWLDLLLDLL) has been poor, especially at home where they’ve won just one of their last five and score only 1.00 goal per game. Defensively, they conc ... Read More...

This match will be played on 4 April 2026 at 15:30

Sporting

Sporting

Prediction:
3-0

Match Time & Date:

3 April 2026

20:30

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Santa Clara

Santa Clara

Sporting CP head into this match in excellent form, fresh off a dominant 4–1 win over Alverca as they continue to chase the top spot. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, we predict a 3-0 home win. Despite several injuries (Ioannidis, Kochorashvili, Luis Guilherme, Quenda), their depth remains strong. Their recent run highlights consistency, while a perfect ... Read More...

This match will be played on 3 April 2026 at 20:30

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
14 May 2026 • 08:55 UTC • 1 min read
Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Weekly Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Portugal Primeira Liga tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result.

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
PortoPortoSanta ClaraSanta Clara16/05/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
MoreirenseMoreirenseAFSAFS16/05/2026, 15:30
  • Correct Score: 2-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
AroucaAroucaTondelaTondela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
BragaBragaEstrelaEstrela16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Casa PiaCasa PiaRio AveRio Ave16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
NacionalNacionalGuimaraesGuimaraes16/05/2026, 18:00
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
EstorilEstorilBenficaBenfica16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
FamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaAlverca16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 1-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
SportingSportingGil VicenteGil Vicente16/05/2026, 20:30
  • Correct Score: 3-0
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Portugal Primeira Liga Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Portugal Primeira Liga tips and betting advice, we track five years of statistical trends from Portugal’s top division. These datasets cover home wins, away wins, draws, goals per game, and BTTS rates. Primeira Liga shares several performance trends with La Liga (Primera División), particularly in the importance of home advantage and the influence of tactical discipline on goal averages. These long-term patterns ensure our Primeira Liga previews are grounded in reliable betting data rather than short-term swings in form.

Portugal Primeira Liga Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.49
Away Teams 1.2
Total (Combined) 2.69
33.4 min/Goal (800 Goals in 297 matches)
57% Clean Sheets (173 times out of 297 matches)
48% Both Teams Scored (143 times out of 297 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 41%
Draw 27%
Away Win 32%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
Over 3.5 30%
Over 4.5 11%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 6%
Under 1.5 25%
Under 2.5 46%
Under 3.5 70%
Under 4.5 89%
Liga NOS Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 24.14
Shots / Match (Home) 12.71
Shots / Match (Away) 11.44
Fouls Per Match 27.56
Fouls / Match (Home) 13.86
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.69
Offsides Per Match 3.12
Players Participated 640

Portugal Primeira Liga Regular Season

Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Porto 33 27 4 2 65 18 +47 85 WWWWL
2 Sporting CP 33 24 7 2 86 24 +62 79 LDDWW
3 Benfica 33 22 11 0 71 24 +47 77 WWWDD
4 Sporting Braga 33 16 10 7 62 34 +28 58 DWLDD
5 Famalicão 33 14 11 8 41 29 +12 53 DDWDD
6 Gil Vicente 33 13 11 9 47 35 +12 50 DLWDL
7 Vitória Guimarães 33 12 6 15 39 49 -10 42 DWWLL
8 Moreirense FC 33 12 6 15 37 49 -12 42 DWLWL
9 GD Estoril Praia 33 10 9 14 53 54 -1 39 LLLDD
10 Alverca 33 10 9 14 35 51 -16 39 WLWLD
11 FC Arouca 33 11 6 16 44 63 -19 39 LWLDW
12 Santa Clara 33 9 9 15 32 40 -8 36 LDWDW
13 Rio Ave FC 33 8 11 14 34 56 -22 35 WDLDL
14 CD Nacional 33 8 7 18 35 45 -10 31 LWWLL
15 Estrela Amadora 33 6 11 16 36 54 -18 29 LLLLD
16 Casa Pia 33 6 11 16 30 56 -26 29 DLLLW
17 CD Tondela 33 6 10 17 26 52 -26 28 LLDWW
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 27 67 -40 20 DDDWW

Portugal Primeira Liga Results

Date Match
10/05/2026, 17:00 AVS 3 - 1 Porto
10/05/2026, 19:30 Alverca 1 - 1 GD Estoril Praia
11/05/2026, 19:15 Gil Vicente 1 - 3 FC Arouca
11/05/2026, 19:15 Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting Braga
11/05/2026, 19:15 Vitória Guimarães 0 - 1 Casa Pia
11/05/2026, 19:15 Rio Ave FC 1 - 4 Sporting CP
11/05/2026, 19:15 Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 Famalicão
11/05/2026, 19:15 CD Tondela 2 - 0 Moreirense FC
11/05/2026, 19:15 Santa Clara 2 - 0 CD Nacional

Portugal Primeira Liga Fixtures

Date Match
16/05/2026, 14:30 Moreirense FC - AVS
16/05/2026, 14:30 Porto - Santa Clara
16/05/2026, 17:00 FC Arouca - CD Tondela
16/05/2026, 17:00 Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
16/05/2026, 17:00 CD Nacional - Vitória Guimarães
16/05/2026, 17:00 Casa Pia - Rio Ave FC
16/05/2026, 19:30 GD Estoril Praia - Benfica
16/05/2026, 19:30 Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
16/05/2026, 19:30 Famalicão - Alverca

Other Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues and tournaments including the ones below.

  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top division with analysis of leading clubs, tactical styles, and season trends.
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  • Premier League Predictions. Our Premier League coverage examines England’s elite teams, title races, and consistent performers.
  • Bundesliga Predictions. Bundesliga forecasts focus on Germany’s most dynamic clubs, highlighting attacking football and league statistics.
  • Portugal League Cup Predictions. Our Portugal League Cup predictions cover the nation’s knockout tournament, analysing fixtures, form, and finalists.
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